NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	3.2 [704]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +25.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	1.1 [638]		LVP	Greg Anthony (POR): -6.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	31%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.36	0.02	0.13	20	91%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.03	-0.07	10	50%	0.02	5	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	13	49%	-0.03	2	-0.03	11	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	38.2	18.6	29.4	2.5	29.4	143.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.9%

LAL +17.4%

LAL +7.9%

POR -10.7%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	15.8	92.9	122.7	99.6
season	16.0	14.9		102.0	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		102.0	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	14.3	17.9	14.7	15.6
LAL	16.2	13.4	11.6	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	39	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-33	38	14.9	16.1	-1.22	15.0	13.2	1.84
Jim Jackson	48	49	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-33	38	15.4	15.9	-0.46	14.0	13.7	0.29
Jermaine O'Neal	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-30	32	15.8	15.5	0.31	12.1	14.8	-2.69
Walt Williams	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-25	22	15.0	16.2	-1.15	12.6	15.1	-2.53
Bonzi Wells	27	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-28	28	13.8	16.3	-2.56	13.5	14.0	-0.53
Arvydas Sabonis	16	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-19	10	17.9	15.2	2.68	16.9	13.3	3.59
Brian Grant	33	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-12	-4	17.5	14.7	2.84	13.2	14.2	-1.04
Rasheed Wallace	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-15	2	15.0	16.3	-1.31	14.7	13.1	1.61
Kelvin Cato	65	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	-8	-12	14.5	17.9	-3.43	14.0	13.7	0.34
Stacey Augmon	24	25	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.22	-24	-4	-20	19.0	14.5	4.51	15.8	13.2	2.51
Isaiah Rider	52	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.45	-34	6	-40	15.8	15.4	0.41	14.0	13.8	0.26
Damon Stoudamire	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.42	-33	5	-38	16.1	14.9	1.22	13.2	15.0	-1.84

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	76	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.30	31	-3	34	14.6	11.5	3.03	16.1	14.2	1.91
J.R. Reid	48	50	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.31	30	-2	32	14.9	12.9	1.94	16.8	14.5	2.30
Shaquille O'Neal	63	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.38	28	0	28	13.3	15.0	-1.70	16.9	13.5	3.41
Derek Fisher	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.31	24	4	20	13.7	14.0	-0.30	17.9	13.5	4.43
Kobe Bryant	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	11	6	14.2	13.7	0.47	17.7	14.1	3.61
Derek Harper	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	24	-20	14.0	13.7	0.30	13.5	17.9	-4.43
Robert Horry	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	26	-24	14.3	13.5	0.75	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Rick Fox	54	55	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	22	-16	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.5	17.0	-2.48
Tyronn Lue	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	11.7	14.2	-2.55	13.3	16.0	-2.68
Ruben Patterson	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	10.5	14.3	-3.78	13.2	16.0	-2.81
Sean Rooks	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	12.2	14.2	-2.01	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Travis Knight	17	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	33	-38	13.8	13.9	-0.16	11.8	16.5	-4.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAL 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 85, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%