NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	88		Excitement	3.1 [1173]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +17.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	114		Comeback	1.1 [798]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -8.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	16	61%	0.12	0	0.00	12	92%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.06	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.28	0.01	0.11	14	97%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.01	7	65%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	7	70%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	27.7	15.8	27.2	2.5	26.4	124.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +38.9%

MIL +4.4%

UTA -4.2%

MIL +9.9%

MIL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	18.1	14.8	15.1	100.0	131.0	105.2
season	16.2	15.7		102.1	101.4
opponent	15.1	14.8		109.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	21.4	17.0	18.0	16.0	18.1
MIL	13.6	15.7	12.7	17.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	14.8	18.8	-3.97	17.6	14.3	3.30
Rudy Gobert	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-31	36	15.8	18.7	-2.91	18.1	14.0	4.12
Diante Garrett	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-25	24	15.8	19.8	-4.05	15.4	14.4	1.00
Jeremy Evans	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.25	-10	-16	6	17.2	18.5	-1.37	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Enes Kanter	63	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-21	16	17.2	20.3	-3.06	15.4	13.2	2.20
Alec Burks	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-14	2	18.1	18.0	0.11	15.0	14.4	0.60
Richard Jefferson	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-11	-4	18.9	17.4	1.50	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Marvin Williams	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-8	-10	19.2	17.5	1.67	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Trey Burke	55	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	-4	-18	19.0	16.6	2.33	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Gordon Hayward	61	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.35	-29	3	-32	19.0	16.1	2.86	14.0	16.7	-2.70
Derrick Favors	34	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.15	-24	-2	-22	20.7	16.4	4.26	13.6	15.5	-1.92

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	48	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	0	26	13.5	16.4	-2.96	18.8	17.2	1.63
Ersan Ilyasova	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.37	31	-5	36	13.7	16.9	-3.20	18.6	17.3	1.27
Zaza Pachulia	47	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	0	26	13.8	16.0	-2.21	19.0	17.1	1.91
Nate Wolters	40	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-1	28	13.5	15.9	-2.46	19.0	17.3	1.75
Khris Middleton	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	7	12	13.6	15.8	-2.23	18.9	17.4	1.48
Giannis Antetokounmpo	47	48	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	19	-12	15.8	13.6	2.23	17.4	18.9	-1.48
Miroslav Raduljica	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	16.4	14.6	1.73	13.2	18.6	-5.42
Ramon Sessions	43	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	26	-26	16.2	13.5	2.73	17.0	19.1	-2.09
John Henson	26	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	27	-28	16.5	14.1	2.42	18.9	17.7	1.23
O.J. Mayo	43	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	27	-28	16.1	13.5	2.64	17.5	18.7	-1.27
Jeff Adrien	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	27	-28	16.3	13.7	2.56	16.8	19.0	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
BOS 86, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
WAS 85, CLE 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%