inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 79 Excitement4.6 [538] MVPClar. Weatherspoon (MIA): +11.3%
Miami Heat 93 Comeback2.6 [410] LVPDikembe Mutombo (ATL): -11.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Sheppard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Gray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011258%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Chris Crawford-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.01750%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03756%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Mark West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0120%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Grant Long-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.02859%-0.041-0.031369%-0.01
Steven Smith-0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.021849%0.033-0.10786%0.01
Roshown McLeod-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02629%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00437%-0.091-0.03875%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.02687%0.1110.003100%0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.020.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.02475%0.0500.004100%0.02
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.010.021454%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.021943%0.011-0.03450%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.031544%-0.001-0.03667%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01750%0.002-0.04633%-0.02
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.728.815.825.42.631.5131.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +35.4%
ATL -4.0%
MIA +8.4%
MIA +8.4%
MIA +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game16.218.115.894.0110.799.6
season16.716.697.2101.3
opponent16.716.396.894.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.517.114.418.116.2
MIA18.817.218.417.918.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ed Gray55-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-11814.816.3-1.5213.018.4-5.38
Jeff Sheppard55-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-11814.816.3-1.5213.018.4-5.38
Chris Crawford5052-0.17-0.330.17-0.201-151616.416.00.3817.219.4-2.12
Mark West1716-0.17-0.330.150.06-8-6-219.015.53.4814.518.9-4.40
Anthony Johnson3434-0.20-0.300.100.03-8-6-217.615.32.2917.118.7-1.53
Roshown McLeod2928-0.26-0.24-0.030.00-9-5-415.616.6-1.0317.618.3-0.68
Dikembe Mutombo7474-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-4-10616.018.1-2.1318.911.77.22
Mookie Blaylock7273-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.18-8-6-215.818.7-2.8518.415.82.58
Grant Long7070-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.08-13-1-1216.017.6-1.6119.013.55.47
Steven Smith6463-0.510.01-0.53-0.07-151-1616.216.2-0.0318.716.12.62

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Brown66640.50-0.000.50-0.0619-52417.221.2-3.9516.017.1-1.15
Jamal Mashburn84840.500.000.500.091401418.10.018.0616.20.016.23
Tim Hardaway69660.450.050.400.041401417.719.9-2.2816.116.7-0.56
Dan Majerle45480.380.120.260.1295419.915.93.9915.317.4-2.08
Terry Porter41410.330.170.17-0.051311217.119.0-1.8316.915.61.23
Clar. Weatherspoon31310.200.30-0.100.0659-417.218.6-1.3717.115.71.33
Alonzo Mourning54550.190.31-0.110.14212-1019.216.13.1016.116.4-0.23
Duane Causwell10110.090.41-0.320.06113-1219.417.91.5217.016.10.89
Rex Walters220.000.50-0.500.00014-148.518.3-9.7913.016.3-3.30
Voshon Lenard1515-0.050.55-0.610.03-317-2018.318.00.3318.115.82.24
Mark Strickland33-0.090.59-0.690.02-418-2220.718.02.7013.316.3-3.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 90, SAS 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,195.4%
DEN 86, SEA 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%
CLE 85, WAS 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%