inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 100 Excitement10.8 [23] MVPJon Barry (SAC): +6.3%
Sacramento Kings 104 Comeback1.3 [277] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -30.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Robinson0.000,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0-0.120.09-0.031546%0.174-0.17714%-0.09
Antonio Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00445%0.0000.003100%0.03
Will Perdue0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Elie-0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.02487%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Malik Rose-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00644%-0.0600.00633%-0.07
Jaren Jackson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.060.00714%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.070.001020%-0.1600.0000%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.1,-0.19-0.07-0.14-0.021338%-0.092-0.1000%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.280,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28-0.16-0.12-0.011641%-0.115-0.17560%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31-0.12-0.20-0.012847%-0.074-0.241267%-0.07

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.040.020.00671%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00282%0.051-0.02771%0.01
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00653%-0.0100.00520%-0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021036%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Vlade Divac0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.080.002356%0.162-0.19250%-0.02
Corliss Williamson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01745%-0.001-0.04683%0.02
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39,-0.39,-0.23,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.160.11-0.001837%0.205-0.252100%0.09
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.01517%-0.112-0.042100%0.02
Vernon Maxwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.14,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.10-0.011448%-0.024-0.16580%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.42.327.015.031.11.732.01.617.1150.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +42.0%
SAC +20.3%
SAS -23.7%
SAC +6.0%
SAC +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game14.514.315.890.993.799.6
season15.914.1101.1100.1
opponent15.515.9100.992.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS14.513.614.116.912.114.5
SAC11.615.814.115.016.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaren Jackson44430.24-0.740.99-0.0811-152615.413.91.4413.814.6-0.72
Will Perdue660.04-0.540.58-0.084-81216.514.42.1210.814.5-3.64
Antonio Daniels2122-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-3215.214.30.9114.014.4-0.41
Malik Rose3636-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-5615.713.91.7315.313.81.48
Mario Elie4041-0.24-0.260.020.02-95-1413.515.0-1.4913.314.8-1.53
Steve Kerr5355-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-4414.614.40.2714.913.71.18
David Robinson7171-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.18-73-1013.715.9-2.2414.214.4-0.27
Avery Johnson8989-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-1-214.315.2-0.9114.414.00.41
Tim Duncan107109-0.520.02-0.55-0.35-62-814.513.70.8614.218.5-4.30
Sean Elliott8383-0.660.16-0.82-0.37-106-1614.414.8-0.3714.613.41.23

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vlade Divac93920.56-0.060.620.425-1614.214.6-0.3314.315.7-1.46
Jason Williams77760.440.060.380.3240413.615.8-2.2314.015.6-1.58
Jon Barry73710.430.070.360.3431215.212.42.7914.814.00.73
Lawrence Funderburke65640.420.080.340.3331215.612.43.2615.013.71.31
Peja Stojakovic36360.250.250.000.1631214.714.10.6615.014.30.74
Vernon Maxwell70670.160.34-0.170.1604-415.212.72.4514.714.20.48
Scot Pollard54550.110.39-0.280.0522013.515.0-1.4513.915.1-1.25
Tariq Abdul-Wahad38390.070.43-0.360.0413-212.415.2-2.7914.014.8-0.73
Corliss Williamson49500.050.45-0.400.08-15-612.915.4-2.5515.114.01.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.84,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 85, UTA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,191.2%
MEM 106, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.98,190.9%
ORL 78, NOK 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,190.5%