NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	77		Excitement	2.2 [768]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.0 [779]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -8.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	15	49%	-0.02	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	21	41%	-0.07	2	-0.02	14	93%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.01	0.08	19	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	70%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	15	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.3	28.3	15.0	25.8	1.7	24.4	118.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.6%

POR +0.1%

POR +7.2%

POR +4.0%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	16.5	15.8	91.7	110.7	99.6
season	15.5	16.0		100.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	20.1	20.1	15.2	16.3	17.8
POR	16.7	16.9	14.8	18.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-19	22	16.3	18.3	-1.92	18.0	16.0	1.92
Carl Herrera	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-7	-2	21.2	17.3	3.92	13.8	17.0	-3.13
Johnny Taylor	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-11	6	18.1	17.5	0.66	17.9	15.3	2.54
Eric Washington	37	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-2	-12	18.6	17.1	1.56	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Bryant Stith	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	17.6	18.0	-0.41	16.3	16.9	-0.62
Chauncey Billups	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	17.2	19.4	-2.23	16.2	17.3	-1.03
Danny Fortson	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	17.4	19.4	-1.99	16.3	17.7	-1.44
Nick Van Exel	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.11	-10	-6	-4	17.6	18.5	-0.92	16.7	15.8	0.93
Antonio McDyess	62	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	18.2	16.5	1.73	16.5	16.5	0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-4	24	15.4	19.2	-3.83	17.1	19.5	-2.36
Arvydas Sabonis	44	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	4	8	15.7	17.4	-1.74	17.7	17.8	-0.14
Jermaine O'Neal	37	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	4	8	15.1	17.6	-2.56	18.0	17.6	0.42
Damon Stoudamire	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	11	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.30	17.5	18.2	-0.71
Stacey Augmon	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	9	-2	17.6	14.7	2.91	18.5	16.6	1.84
Isaiah Rider	51	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	9	-2	16.3	16.8	-0.45	17.8	17.8	0.03
Brian Grant	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	11	-6	17.6	15.2	2.33	18.0	17.5	0.44
Greg Anthony	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	11	-6	17.5	15.7	1.79	17.9	17.6	0.31
Kelvin Cato	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	9	-2	17.3	15.9	1.34	17.6	17.9	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 105, DEN 137	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHI 76, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ORL 69, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%