NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Excitement	8.2 [128]		MVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): +14.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	79		Comeback	3.0 [418]		LVP	Earl Boykins (CLE): -37.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	13	73%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Stack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.03	14	59%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	9	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Mitchell Butler	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.26,-0.37	-0.08	-0.30	0.00	8	25%	-0.24	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	-0.00	4	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	7	36%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	20	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Robert Traylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	3	30%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	3	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	13	52%	-0.03	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.09
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	5	33%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	8	37%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.5	25.5	15.5	28.2	1.8	37.3	134.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.0%

MIL +28.5%

MIL +4.5%

MIL +6.5%

CLE -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.8	88.2	96.3	99.6
season	16.3	15.8		97.3	102.4
opponent	16.4	16.2		100.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.1	16.6	17.0	17.5	17.1
MIL	19.8	17.7	16.5	16.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	44	42	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.02	8	-12	20	16.7	17.5	-0.76	18.3	16.5	1.76
Andrew DeClercq	47	45	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-6	8	17.1	17.0	0.18	18.5	16.2	2.30
Mitchell Butler	30	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-4	4	18.0	16.6	1.44	16.6	17.8	-1.19
Johnny Newman	18	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	18.2	16.8	1.46	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Bob Sura	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	2	-8	18.3	16.9	1.38	17.8	17.4	0.48
Cedric Henderson	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-8	12	17.2	16.3	0.90	17.9	15.4	2.50
Wesley Person	76	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	16.6	21.2	-4.64	17.1	19.9	-2.82
Danny Ferry	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-3	2	16.9	17.4	-0.54	17.6	17.1	0.45
Ryan Stack	42	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	5	-14	16.7	17.4	-0.66	16.4	18.4	-2.04
Earl Boykins	34	33	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	4	-12	17.1	17.0	0.08	16.5	18.0	-1.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	35	35	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	0	4	17.3	17.5	-0.20	17.1	17.0	0.07
Ray Allen	65	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	16.2	22.0	-5.77	16.5	19.4	-2.93
Glenn Robinson	66	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	4	-4	17.2	18.4	-1.18	17.3	16.1	1.16
Dell Curry	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-7	18	19.0	16.0	2.95	16.8	17.3	-0.46
Ervin Johnson	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	1	2	18.0	17.1	0.89	15.4	17.9	-2.51
Haywoode Workman	52	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	10	-16	17.3	17.7	-0.38	16.7	17.7	-1.06
Armen Gilliam	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	3	-2	18.7	16.6	2.18	17.9	16.5	1.35
Vinny Del Negro	31	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	-4	12	18.1	17.0	1.03	18.2	16.4	1.82
Tim Thomas	36	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	16.6	18.1	-1.45	17.3	16.9	0.49
Robert Traylor	24	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	6	-8	17.2	17.5	-0.37	18.2	16.6	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	90.8%
POR 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.57,0.81,1	90.7%
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	90.7%