NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	76		Excitement	3.2 [703]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +6.3%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	1.1 [772]		LVP	Gary Trent (DAL): -19.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Anstey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	37%	-0.05	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	54%	0.01	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.24	-0.01	-0.06	16	21%	-0.13	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Will Perdue	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	71%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	56%	0.07	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.06	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	11	37%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	25.3	16.4	28.4	1.4	25.6	123.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.9%

SAS +8.6%

SAS +2.9%

SAS +5.6%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.9	15.8	79.2	106.2	99.6
season	15.9	15.9		99.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		92.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	15.7	17.0	14.6	16.0
SAS	11.4	16.3	11.8	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	12.7	16.4	-3.76	15.6	13.7	1.92
A.C. Green	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-26	25	13.2	16.3	-3.10	15.2	13.7	1.45
Samaki Walker	26	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.14	-10	-17	7	17.4	15.4	2.01	15.3	13.4	1.89
Shawn Bradley	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-19	11	18.4	15.2	3.26	12.5	14.3	-1.75
Erick Strickland	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.22	-14	-13	-1	14.8	17.6	-2.83	15.1	12.1	3.09
Chris Anstey	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-13	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.71	14.3	13.3	1.03
Hubert Davis	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	-10	-7	16.4	14.5	1.95	13.9	13.7	0.21
Gary Trent	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-6	-15	16.2	15.5	0.70	12.6	17.0	-4.43
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	-4	-19	15.8	16.7	-0.92	14.1	13.1	0.94
Michael Finley	71	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	-5	-17	16.3	15.0	1.30	13.0	16.7	-3.68

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	10	7	13.1	15.7	-2.66	16.6	14.6	1.94
Avery Johnson	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	5	17	12.1	15.7	-3.54	17.5	14.3	3.21
David Robinson	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	19	-11	13.2	14.7	-1.52	16.1	15.8	0.35
Malik Rose	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.30	20	7	13	14.5	13.5	1.04	16.7	15.5	1.22
Jaren Jackson	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.28	19	8	11	14.1	13.8	0.34	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Mario Elie	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	17	-7	13.0	14.7	-1.69	16.8	15.1	1.67
Sean Elliott	47	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	19	-11	12.9	14.8	-1.91	16.4	15.6	0.79
Steve Kerr	39	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	19	-11	15.8	12.6	3.13	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Antonio Daniels	48	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	22	-17	15.7	12.1	3.54	14.3	17.5	-3.21
Jerome Kersey	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.20	9	18	-9	14.2	13.8	0.36	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Will Perdue	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	21	-15	15.9	13.1	2.76	14.6	16.5	-1.96
Gerard King	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	15.3	13.7	1.56	12.2	16.4	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
HOU 92, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 80, NOH 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%