inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 75 Excitement5.4 [446] MVPBo Outlaw (ORL): +8.5%
Orlando Magic 70 Comeback5.4 [84] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -16.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.05-0.011157%0.122-0.041100%0.01
P.J. Brown0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.03-0.03960%0.112-0.052100%0.01
Terry Porter0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.050.010.03-0.01675%0.153-0.114100%0.03
Voshon Lenard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00736%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Jamal Mashburn-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.011250%0.023-0.092100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12-0.140.01-0.011743%-0.054-0.07850%-0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.01771%0.0900.0000%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.011543%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02267%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02941%-0.0400.00425%-0.06
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.0158%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Nick Anderson0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.042035%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.110.00-0.021029%-0.071-0.02425%-0.04
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.00629%-0.081-0.042100%0.02
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.080.011040%-0.083-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.430.215.623.21.843.0137.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +43.5%
MIA +13.5%
MIA +3.6%
ORL -14.5%
MIA +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game15.918.015.887.283.399.6
season16.616.1101.398.0
opponent15.616.795.796.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.717.613.814.915.9
ORL17.418.419.516.518.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn75730.52-0.020.540.317-2915.717.8-2.1517.918.6-0.77
P.J. Brown62610.480.020.460.258-31116.514.51.9418.815.73.18
Alonzo Mourning77740.410.090.320.3814-315.916.0-0.0618.017.80.19
Dan Majerle71690.400.100.300.168-31115.816.8-1.0418.117.40.69
Tim Hardaway73700.370.130.240.3414-316.015.80.2018.714.44.33
Terry Porter41410.340.160.180.2823-115.716.2-0.5416.119.7-3.55
Clar. Weatherspoon21230.140.36-0.220.0532116.315.80.5216.518.5-2.05
Voshon Lenard109-0.160.66-0.83-0.02-510-1516.115.90.1818.217.90.29

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw4748-0.14-0.360.23-0.254-91318.517.31.1915.017.2-2.23
Michael Doleac2324-0.15-0.350.19-0.243-81116.318.6-2.3516.515.70.83
Horace Grant5658-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-1-318.816.22.6315.516.8-1.25
Nick Anderson5963-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.312-7917.219.8-2.5615.517.1-1.62
Derek Strong2424-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-61-716.618.5-1.8817.915.22.74
Darrell Armstrong4949-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.331-6716.719.7-2.9516.215.60.51
Ike Austin5554-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-116-1719.415.24.1616.015.90.06
Matt Harpring3737-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.10-105-1517.418.4-0.9516.815.31.43
Anfernee Hardaway7073-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.31-4-1-318.614.93.7315.916.4-0.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.37,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 94, HOU 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,0,092.6%
LAC 97, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.1,092.3%
SAS 102, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,092.3%