NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	2.6 [754]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +9.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	119		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): -7.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	15	66%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	-0.01
Andrae Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.11	6	92%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	8	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	12	86%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	86%	0.11	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	77%	0.13	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.00	2	-0.02	16	81%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	54.9	2.4	29.5	15.8	29.1	1.8	29.0	162.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +41.4%

SEA +7.8%

SEA +7.6%

MIN -7.5%

SEA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.8	105.0	119.0	99.6
season	15.0	15.4		98.6	102.4
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.5	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	15.3	15.1	14.3	14.6
SEA	14.0	14.7	14.2	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Curley	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-26	38	14.3	14.6	-0.35	12.3	14.5	-2.24
Dennis Scott	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-23	32	14.4	14.7	-0.25	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Andrae Patterson	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-7	0	15.2	14.4	0.87	15.6	13.7	1.90
James Robinson	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-15	16	15.4	14.4	0.95	16.1	13.9	2.18
Bobby Jackson	39	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-22	30	14.7	14.5	0.13	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Tom Hammonds	32	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-12	10	15.9	14.0	1.89	15.9	13.5	2.37
Sam Mitchell	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	13.9	15.5	-1.66	15.1	13.1	2.08
Dean Garrett	27	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-2	-10	14.7	14.5	0.21	11.7	15.2	-3.55
Joe Smith	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	2	-18	14.8	14.3	0.57	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Kevin Garnett	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	9	-32	14.6	14.5	0.09	13.9	14.8	-0.86

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.37	31	-17	48	14.2	14.2	0.04	15.1	13.6	1.42
Hersey Hawkins	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.29	26	-12	38	14.2	14.2	-0.03	14.9	13.9	1.03
Gary Payton	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.26	24	-10	34	14.4	13.7	0.68	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Olden Polynice	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-4	22	14.0	14.5	-0.55	14.6	14.6	0.01
Don MacLean	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-2	18	14.0	14.5	-0.48	14.0	15.5	-1.56
John Crotty	41	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.34	-8	22	-30	14.2	14.2	-0.07	14.8	14.4	0.42
Dale Ellis	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.17	9	5	4	15.5	13.4	2.09	15.3	14.2	1.09
Jelani McCoy	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	20	-26	14.5	14.0	0.55	14.9	14.4	0.56
Rashard Lewis	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	26	-38	12.3	14.5	-2.24	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Aaron Williams	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.43	-16	30	-46	13.6	14.4	-0.76	13.8	14.8	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 82, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NYK 85, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%