inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 86 Excitement7.6 [175] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +16.4%
Dallas Mavericks 92 Comeback5.6 [65] LVPSean Elliott (SAS): -27.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.060.000.060.00856%0.101-0.042100%0.01
Jaren Jackson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01662%0.0400.001100%0.01
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.030.001057%0.0100.00367%-0.00
Steve Kerr0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Perdue-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
David Robinson-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011159%-0.002-0.041580%-0.01
Avery Johnson-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.0250%-0.072-0.0700%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.0270%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.190,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19-0.04-0.150.001752%-0.063-0.13650%-0.07
Sean Elliott-0.280,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28-0.14-0.14-0.011225%-0.123-0.1600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.160.160.050.110.001666%0.223-0.056100%0.03
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
A.C. Green00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Anstey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.020.001040%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00643%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Gary Trent0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001156%-0.021-0.021040%-0.11
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.011145%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.130.01-0.041435%-0.042-0.05667%-0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.15-0.09-0.001036%-0.105-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.726.115.723.11.737.5130.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +39.4%
SAS -14.0%
DAL +11.2%
DAL +14.2%
SAS -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game15.715.115.891.598.999.6
season15.915.9101.199.7
opponent15.615.9102.392.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.717.015.317.215.7
DAL11.615.719.015.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Kersey38390.27-0.771.05-0.1414-203417.014.72.2915.315.00.25
Jaren Jackson39380.24-0.740.98-0.1413-193216.814.81.9814.615.5-0.86
Antonio Daniels36370.19-0.690.89-0.1010-162617.114.82.3116.014.61.38
Malik Rose25260.11-0.610.72-0.035-111617.615.02.5917.514.23.28
Steve Kerr22-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-421.516.0-14.471.015.5-14.45
Will Perdue2119-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-5416.115.50.6212.915.7-2.82
David Robinson6464-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-3014.518.1-3.5415.215.00.25
Tim Duncan7877-0.640.14-0.78-0.26-137-2015.814.71.1014.816.6-1.79
Avery Johnson5654-0.660.16-0.83-0.25-148-2215.216.3-1.0115.115.2-0.11
Sean Elliott4746-0.670.17-0.85-0.23-159-2414.217.1-2.8515.514.80.71
Mario Elie6463-0.840.34-1.18-0.14-2418-4215.216.7-1.4815.115.2-0.14

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki65660.88-0.381.260.3817-112814.416.9-2.4614.817.8-3.03
Steve Nash81810.73-0.230.970.2118-123015.413.41.9815.914.31.57
Gary Trent70720.68-0.180.860.3312-61814.018.5-4.4414.818.3-3.47
Chris Anstey40390.470.040.430.4706-616.314.31.9915.815.50.32
Michael Finley81820.360.140.230.3124-215.214.90.2615.318.3-3.07
Hubert Davis12120.140.36-0.230.0242214.915.2-0.2618.315.33.07
Samaki Walker2827-0.110.61-0.71-0.02-39-1217.913.93.9917.315.02.24
Shawn Bradley5860-0.160.66-0.82-0.2533015.115.3-0.2315.715.50.20
Robert Pack1213-0.230.73-0.970.12-1218-3013.415.4-1.9814.315.9-1.57
A.C. Green1818-0.260.76-1.020.06-1117-2815.515.10.4519.214.84.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 78, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.77,0.91,191.1%
IND 88, CHH 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,190.7%
MEM 83, IND 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.94,0.92,190.5%