NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	2.3 [767]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +6.5%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.0 [618]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -16.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerald Honeycutt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	-0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	7	50%	-0.02	5	-0.05	10	80%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.26	-0.00	-0.09	16	31%	-0.07	7	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	71%	0.08	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	11	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	27.6	15.7	24.5	1.8	31.4	130.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.6%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +4.9%

NYK +13.9%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.8	79.1	98.9	99.6
season	15.6	16.0		97.0	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.9		95.1	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	17.1	13.8	12.5	14.8
NYK	15.5	19.8	16.8	15.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	8.4	15.5	-7.07	12.8	17.1	-4.29
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	10.6	15.3	-4.73	13.6	17.0	-3.42
Larry Hughes	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-25	31	12.7	17.2	-4.50	15.8	17.6	-1.76
Harvey Grant	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-14	9	16.6	14.3	2.35	17.9	16.3	1.57
Jerald Honeycutt	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-11	3	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.9	17.0	-1.14
Aaron McKie	31	32	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	-6	-7	15.5	14.5	1.02	15.8	17.1	-1.24
Rick Mahorn	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-12	5	16.0	14.4	1.63	17.2	16.5	0.76
Tyrone Hill	50	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-5	-9	15.4	14.1	1.21	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Theo Ratliff	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.24	-18	-1	-17	14.9	14.6	0.28	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Matt Geiger	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-16	13	14.3	15.8	-1.54	17.2	15.5	1.72
Eric Snow	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-3	-13	15.1	14.3	0.77	17.5	15.2	2.29
Allen Iverson	76	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	0	-19	15.7	10.5	5.12	17.2	13.4	3.80

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	-2	23	16.9	16.2	0.69	16.0	12.5	3.58
Kurt Thomas	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	3	13	16.4	17.0	-0.62	15.3	14.2	1.16
Allan Houston	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	2	15	16.6	16.8	-0.18	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Charlie Ward	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	5	9	16.8	16.5	0.30	15.3	14.2	1.10
Chris Dudley	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	12	-5	16.2	17.1	-0.87	14.5	15.2	-0.65
Latrell Sprewell	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	13	-7	16.9	16.2	0.66	14.1	16.1	-1.93
Patrick Ewing	22	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	10	-1	17.2	16.5	0.76	17.5	14.0	3.52
Marcus Camby	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	15	-11	18.2	15.3	2.87	15.2	14.5	0.70
Chris Childs	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	13	-7	19.1	16.1	2.92	17.4	14.3	3.11
Herb Williams	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.3	16.9	-3.55	10.2	15.1	-4.88
Ben Davis	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	12.8	17.1	-4.29	8.4	15.5	-7.07
David Wingate	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.3	16.9	-3.55	10.2	15.1	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 69, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 69, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
TOR 84, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%