inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 84 Excitement2.3 [1284] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +8.7%
Detroit Pistons 117 Comeback1.0 [1245] LVPDarko Milicic (DET): -4.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.011749%0.021-0.011100%0.00
Aaron Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04967%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04743%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Joey Graham-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00558%-0.002-0.01250%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03312%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Rafael Araujo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.01-0.06540%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.01955%0.022-0.034100%0.01
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.000.082049%-0.0300.001182%-0.01
Loren Woods-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.170.000.081771%0.091-0.004100%0.02
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.001556%0.071-0.002100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00954%0.071-0.021070%-0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.01-0.03650%0.0410.00875%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01853%0.012-0.00367%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00952%0.021-0.02367%-0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05329%0.0020.0010%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.110.000.12776%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00542%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.40.830.317.425.11.730.2132.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +14.8%
DET +8.7%
DET +16.3%
DET +8.7%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game14.415.215.684.8121.9104.4
season15.616.9107.3108.3
opponent15.815.4101.4110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.416.413.714.214.4
DET15.517.115.713.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Williams330.02-0.520.55-0.032-35379.014.5-5.5319.015.13.94
Loren Woods1112-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-292516.314.12.1514.415.3-0.88
Alvin Williams2221-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-282314.614.30.2912.615.9-3.35
Mike James4039-0.11-0.390.280.36-16-17114.214.5-0.3214.915.4-0.45
Charlie Villanueva5251-0.11-0.390.270.12-8-251714.514.20.3715.015.4-0.36
Rafael Araujo1715-0.13-0.370.240.07-7-261915.114.20.9114.715.3-0.54
Joey Graham2727-0.14-0.360.220.21-12-21914.214.4-0.2515.115.2-0.16
Morris Peterson6563-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-19514.314.4-0.1215.115.4-0.27
Matt Bonner1918-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-21914.214.4-0.2517.914.63.32
Jose Calderon8887-0.36-0.14-0.230.43-27-6-2114.216.0-1.8415.413.12.29
Jalen Rose8582-0.46-0.04-0.420.51-330-3314.612.91.6714.618.5-3.88
Chris Bosh6662-0.510.01-0.520.34-29-4-2514.114.8-0.6816.313.23.02

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince66690.57-0.070.64-0.373213116.213.13.0814.514.00.47
Ben Wallace57600.51-0.010.53-0.192491515.614.61.0514.414.30.18
Richard Hamilton52550.450.050.41-0.162112915.414.90.4715.113.41.72
Chauncey Billups59620.410.090.33-0.292491515.215.20.0415.212.92.26
Rasheed Wallace40430.390.110.28-0.322491515.315.10.1515.613.42.15
Antonio McDyess38380.110.39-0.28-0.06627-2116.614.22.3913.814.7-0.89
Carlos Arroyo37370.090.41-0.33-0.18924-1515.215.2-0.0412.915.2-2.26
Maurice Evans44440.050.45-0.41-0.311221-914.915.4-0.4713.415.1-1.72
Jason Maxiell18180.000.50-0.50-0.09330-2711.915.9-3.9912.614.8-2.14
Darko Milicic3232-0.030.53-0.55-0.11330-2714.715.4-0.7014.114.5-0.44
Carlos Delfino3737-0.060.56-0.61-0.26726-1913.216.4-3.2114.214.4-0.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 72, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
IND 91, PHX 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
WAS 81, ATL 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%