NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	8.3 [114]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +88.4%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	35.9 [17]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -18.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.88	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.88	0.08	0.80	0.00	13	65%	0.91	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	5	90%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	20	62%	0.16	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.10
Joe Dumars	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	15	74%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Don Reid	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	4	40%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.20
Loy Vaught	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	9	47%	-0.06	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.16	0.01	16	73%	0.32	1	-0.03	16	94%	0.12
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	9	58%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	85%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	5	42%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	27.3	16.4	26.4	1.7	46.0	141.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +98.1%

IND -27.1%

IND -13.3%

IND -14.3%

DET +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.8	113.3	112.2	99.6
season	16.6	16.4		101.4	105.4
opponent	16.0	16.1		101.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	14.3	19.1	15.9	16.3
IND	19.5	15.1	14.5	14.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	51	52	1.19	-0.69	1.88	0.69	17	-16	33	15.7	17.1	-1.38	15.8	15.6	0.22
Lindsey Hunter	63	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.64	0	1	-1	16.5	16.0	0.46	15.7	15.5	0.24
Grant Hill	81	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	16.3	16.8	-0.51	15.8	14.9	0.88
Joe Dumars	77	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.48	-8	9	-17	16.4	15.9	0.47	14.9	20.1	-5.20
Jerome Williams	18	15	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-6	13	12.9	17.2	-4.22	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Bison Dele	43	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.36	-10	11	-21	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Eric Montross	32	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	-1	3	15.5	16.8	-1.28	16.1	15.5	0.58
Don Reid	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	6	-11	17.6	15.1	2.44	17.2	14.2	2.96
Loy Vaught	41	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.36	3	-2	5	17.2	15.6	1.56	15.7	15.7	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	61	61	0.57	-1.07	1.63	0.39	6	-7	13	15.1	16.8	-1.65	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Antonio Davis	45	43	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.29	-2	1	-3	15.2	16.1	-0.87	16.7	16.0	0.67
Dale Davis	49	50	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-6	11	16.2	15.1	1.11	16.0	16.7	-0.63
Al Harrington	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	0	-1	17.1	15.5	1.59	17.4	16.2	1.16
Rik Smits	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-7	13	15.4	16.2	-0.73	16.4	16.2	0.21
Sam Perkins	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	8	-17	16.7	15.3	1.41	16.6	16.2	0.36
Jalen Rose	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	2	-5	14.5	17.3	-2.74	16.5	16.2	0.30
Reggie Miller	72	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.59	-2	1	-3	15.3	17.0	-1.65	15.9	18.2	-2.36
Chris Mullin	49	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.72	2	-3	5	16.8	14.3	2.54	16.4	16.2	0.28
Travis Best	29	29	-1.07	0.57	-1.63	-0.86	-7	6	-13	16.8	15.1	1.65	16.4	16.3	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.83,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.68,0.74,0	92.0%
CLE 99, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.73,0	90.9%
CHI 88, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.72,0	90.7%