inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 87 Excitement5.3 [463] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +10.2%
Boston Celtics 108 Comeback1.4 [488] LVPJuwan Howard (WAS): -16.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Legler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.01-0.07850%0.0710.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01475%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Randell Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021100%0.0100.003100%0.01
John Coker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.09614%-0.021-0.002100%0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.021456%0.053-0.07650%-0.04
Jeff McInnis-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.03625%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.050.051165%0.014-0.11475%-0.01
Rod Strickland-0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00740%-0.072-0.05667%-0.02
Calbert Cheaney-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.00617%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.04-0.021642%-0.084-0.08862%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.021374%0.132-0.03560%-0.02
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.03978%0.0800.0000%0.00
Eric Riley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dwayne Schintzius0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marlon Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Greg Minor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.020.01478%0.073-0.0710%-0.01
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.001258%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.020.03850%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00450%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.012238%-0.0800.001100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.05-0.031638%-0.092-0.05757%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.527.615.729.22.324.6125.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +20.5%
BOS +1.1%
BOS +15.6%
BOS +16.6%
WAS -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASBOSNBAWASBOSNBA
this game15.313.715.887.9109.199.6
season15.515.098.898.1
opponent15.815.9100.0101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.614.216.515.115.3
BOS14.414.612.313.713.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Coker12120.00-0.500.500.000-212114.615.4-0.8612.114.0-1.89
Randell Jackson1213-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-232514.415.5-1.0513.813.70.03
Chris Whitney2828-0.04-0.460.420.11-5-161114.115.8-1.6714.413.50.95
Jeff McInnis3538-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-11116.314.81.4113.913.70.24
Calbert Cheaney4746-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-10-115.914.90.9714.013.50.43
Tim Legler3940-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-11114.515.9-1.4613.414.0-0.58
Mitch Richmond6664-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-5-1116.014.02.0613.813.70.14
Otis Thorpe7172-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-9-315.714.51.1313.913.40.42
Rod Strickland6461-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-10-114.816.3-1.4113.713.9-0.24
Terry Davis4847-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-10-115.315.4-0.1013.014.4-1.34
Juwan Howard7374-0.50-0.00-0.490.12-210-2115.315.4-0.0614.112.71.37

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie56550.450.050.39-0.111921713.314.4-1.1015.415.30.13
Ron Mercer74730.370.130.25-0.04147713.913.40.5215.614.70.88
Paul Pierce61620.330.170.15-0.201831513.813.70.1515.415.20.16
Greg Minor50500.300.200.100.011011-113.713.8-0.1415.015.7-0.65
Antoine Walker69720.270.230.03-0.12138514.212.71.5014.816.7-1.92
Dana Barros43420.260.240.02-0.12138514.413.21.1915.415.30.02
Kenny Anderson56570.240.26-0.020.00813-513.214.4-1.1915.315.4-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko34330.210.29-0.090.03615-914.013.60.3417.314.42.89
Walter McCarty22220.080.42-0.340.05120-1912.514.1-1.6014.815.5-0.73
Eric Riley990.000.50-0.49-0.20714-717.313.43.9415.415.30.11
Marlon Garnett13130.000.50-0.500.00021-2113.013.9-0.8615.015.4-0.40
Dwayne Schintzius870.000.50-0.500.12-425-2911.613.9-2.3112.915.5-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 75, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
ATL 72, IND 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
DAL 84, POR 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,194.9%