NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	1.3 [628]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +6.9%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.2 [594]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -17.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.09	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	89%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	16	53%	0.05	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	83%	0.06	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.06	7	74%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.07	12	77%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	10	74%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	12	36%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	25.0	15.0	31.1	2.4	25.5	123.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.2%

UTA +7.1%

GSW -13.2%

GSW -5.5%

UTA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.8	104.5	97.7	99.6
season	16.4	15.9		102.6	95.1
opponent	15.5	16.0		98.1	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	17.2	13.8	18.7	16.2
GSW	17.0	18.8	15.6	15.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	69	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-6	19	15.6	18.7	-3.12	16.9	16.0	0.87
Bryon Russell	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	16.7	13.5	3.17	17.0	14.8	2.15
Jeff Hornacek	55	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-6	19	15.9	16.8	-0.83	15.7	18.2	-2.51
Greg Ostertag	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	15.9	17.8	-1.92	16.1	19.1	-3.00
John Stockton	47	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	1	5	16.6	15.9	0.72	16.8	16.5	0.32
Howard Eisley	47	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	6	-5	15.7	16.8	-1.11	16.8	16.5	0.34
Todd Fuller	11	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	18.1	16.0	2.12	19.8	16.2	3.66
Shandon Anderson	39	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	15	-23	16.1	16.4	-0.34	17.0	16.4	0.64
Thurl Bailey	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	15	-23	18.4	15.4	2.94	16.2	16.9	-0.69

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	15.7	17.2	-1.53	15.3	16.7	-1.33
Adonal Foyle	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-6	5	15.9	17.2	-1.27	14.4	17.5	-3.08
Muggsy Bogues	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	16.9	16.6	0.30	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Chris Mills	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-10	13	16.1	17.5	-1.35	15.7	17.0	-1.36
Jason Caffey	21	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	0	-7	18.2	16.2	2.06	16.7	16.1	0.65
Antawn Jamison	66	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-13	19	16.6	16.8	-0.17	17.0	13.3	3.73
Donyell Marshall	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	17.3	16.3	1.01	17.2	15.6	1.61
Bimbo Coles	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	16.6	16.9	-0.30	16.6	15.6	1.01
Erick Dampier	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	17.0	15.7	1.27	16.5	15.5	0.92
John Starks	44	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	8	-23	17.0	16.3	0.65	16.4	16.1	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, TOR 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIA 101, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0	95.6%
MEM 99, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%