NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	73		Excitement	5.2 [472]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +5.9%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	1.0 [542]		LVP	Matt Harpring (ORL): -20.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	56%	0.04	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	8	17%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	10	48%	-0.04	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	11	36%	-0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	11	32%	-0.09	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	7	61%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	27.3	14.8	27.2	1.8	28.0	125.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.0%

WAS +10.8%

ORL -13.4%

WAS +24.0%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	17.2	15.8	83.0	96.6	99.6
season	16.1	15.5		98.0	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.3	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	15.4	15.7	16.2	15.7
WAS	15.7	16.6	15.7	21.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	24	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-14	17	14.2	16.2	-2.08	19.2	16.5	2.69
Darrell Armstrong	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-13	15	14.8	16.5	-1.70	17.4	17.0	0.40
Dan Schayes	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-13	15	14.2	16.1	-1.90	18.3	17.0	1.31
Nick Anderson	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.7	-0.06	15.1	18.3	-3.15
B.J. Armstrong	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	16.2	15.6	0.61	20.6	16.2	4.43
Dominique Wilkins	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-11	11	14.3	16.8	-2.49	17.5	17.0	0.43
Ike Austin	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	2	-15	17.0	14.7	2.28	14.8	19.0	-4.16
Anfernee Hardaway	56	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	4	-19	16.0	15.1	0.97	16.7	18.2	-1.48
Derek Strong	41	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	16.3	15.1	1.19	17.7	16.9	0.82
Matt Harpring	69	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	16.3	13.4	2.88	17.6	15.9	1.74
Horace Grant	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	15.8	15.2	0.61	17.0	18.0	-1.06

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	77	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-5	21	16.7	21.3	-4.59	16.1	11.9	4.19
Mitch Richmond	56	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	1	9	17.8	16.2	1.58	16.0	15.2	0.80
Rod Strickland	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	2	7	17.3	17.1	0.14	16.2	13.3	2.90
Terry Davis	36	36	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-2	15	15.7	18.3	-2.54	17.3	14.6	2.70
Otis Thorpe	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	4	3	16.8	17.8	-0.93	16.2	15.1	1.11
Ben Wallace	36	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	9	-7	19.2	15.9	3.28	14.8	16.3	-1.55
Calbert Cheaney	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	12	-13	18.1	15.7	2.33	15.2	16.5	-1.33
Jeff McInnis	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	17.1	17.3	-0.14	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Tracy Murray	26	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.10	-4	15	-19	16.9	17.4	-0.45	12.7	16.9	-4.14
Tim Legler	12	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	10	-9	15.2	17.6	-2.41	16.3	15.6	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
WAS 101, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%
LAL 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.9%