NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	4.2 [596]		MVP	Brent Barry (CHI): +5.8%
Toronto Raptors	91		Comeback	1.2 [706]		LVP	Corey Benjamin (CHI): -18.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kornel David	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	10	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	55%	-0.00	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Mark Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.04	-0.06	12	41%	-0.04	4	-0.09	8	37%	-0.05
Corey Benjamin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	11	21%	-0.17	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.05
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.6	15.7	25.2	2.3	28.7	127.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.5%

TOR +8.8%

CHI -6.5%

TOR +1.2%

CHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	17.1	14.0	15.8	84.8	97.8	99.6
season	16.7	15.6		90.6	99.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	17.4	19.2	16.8	17.1
TOR	15.6	11.9	13.5	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rusty LaRue	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	15.8	18.4	-2.52	14.8	13.2	1.55
Mark Bryant	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-12	11	17.1	17.2	-0.18	14.3	13.3	1.07
Corey Benjamin	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-14	15	18.5	15.9	2.68	13.1	14.9	-1.77
Bill Wennington	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.7	17.3	-0.63	13.1	14.4	-1.26
Brent Barry	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-12	11	17.7	15.5	2.17	14.1	13.9	0.17
Keith Booth	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-2	-9	15.4	18.4	-2.93	15.3	13.1	2.21
Cory Carr	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.5	17.7	-2.17	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Dickey Simpkins	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	18.0	15.5	2.53	14.0	14.2	-0.17
Kornel David	40	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	16.3	17.7	-1.48	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Charles R. Jones	46	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	4	-21	18.4	15.8	2.52	13.2	14.8	-1.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	41	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-6	25	12.4	15.3	-2.91	18.1	16.3	1.84
Charles Oakley	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-2	17	14.7	12.4	2.25	16.7	18.2	-1.56
Vince Carter	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	4	5	14.3	13.1	1.16	17.7	15.3	2.35
Tracy McGrady	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	2	9	13.7	14.3	-0.57	17.5	16.8	0.71
Dee Brown	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	6	1	13.6	14.8	-1.14	16.9	17.5	-0.63
Alvin Williams	31	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	4	5	13.9	14.1	-0.21	17.5	16.9	0.53
Doug Christie	80	79	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	10	-7	14.3	12.3	2.02	16.4	21.2	-4.71
John Wallace	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	13.0	14.4	-1.44	16.4	17.4	-0.99
Michael Stewart	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	16	-19	17.7	13.8	3.87	19.2	17.0	2.20
Kevin Willis	49	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	18	-23	14.6	13.4	1.20	17.0	17.3	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
VAN 84, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%