NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	8.8 [93]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +41.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	14.8 [12]		LVP	Derek Harper (LAL): -18.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.41	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.41	0.05	0.39	0.03	22	63%	0.56	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.06,0.22	0.00	0.22	-0.00	8	67%	0.28	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	15	61%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Lawrence Funderburke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	16	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.09
Michael Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.22,0.38	0.38	0.04	0.33	-0.01	12	68%	0.48	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	17	65%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	15	71%	0.08	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.04
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.17	-0.01	12	48%	-0.17	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	30.2	17.6	22.2	2.0	37.5	135.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +20.7%

SAC +1.9%

SAC +8.9%

SAC +12.8%

SAC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	15.8	109.9	109.0	99.6
season	14.1	14.9		100.1	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	13.7	13.5	15.0	13.9
LAL	14.4	13.5	15.3	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	81	80	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-15	32	13.2	16.9	-3.69	15.3	12.2	3.06
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	66	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-12	26	13.5	14.8	-1.36	15.9	12.5	3.32
Corliss Williamson	86	87	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-14	30	13.4	17.0	-3.59	15.1	11.8	3.37
Chris Webber	91	90	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	13.5	17.8	-4.28	14.5	16.3	-1.78
Jason Williams	83	81	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	2	-2	13.3	17.0	-3.72	14.5	15.5	-0.96
Michael Hawkins	18	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	0	2	17.0	13.3	3.72	15.5	14.5	0.96
Vernon Maxwell	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.49	-12	14	-26	14.6	13.6	0.96	12.5	15.9	-3.32
Lawrence Funderburke	30	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.26	-17	19	-36	17.2	12.6	4.64	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Peja Stojakovic	14	13	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	16	-30	17.9	13.3	4.55	11.8	15.1	-3.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	66	67	0.55	-1.05	1.60	0.37	6	-8	14	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.3	13.3	1.02
Derek Fisher	32	34	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-13	24	14.8	14.7	0.12	15.1	13.3	1.82
Rick Fox	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-11	20	14.8	14.6	0.14	15.4	13.0	2.44
J.R. Reid	38	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-3	4	14.8	14.6	0.14	13.0	14.5	-1.49
Dennis Rodman	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	13	-28	15.4	13.9	1.49	13.1	14.8	-1.74
Glen Rice	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.0	0.91	13.9	13.9	0.03
Kobe Bryant	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	4	-10	14.5	16.0	-1.53	13.3	17.9	-4.61
Derek Harper	68	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.25	-13	11	-24	14.7	14.8	-0.12	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Robert Horry	45	45	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-1.15	4	-6	10	14.0	15.3	-1.35	15.2	12.9	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.42,0	89.8%
LAL 98, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.02,0	88.9%
SAC 94, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.32,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	88.4%