NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	9.5 [50]		MVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): +22.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Comeback	1.6 [453]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -37.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.09,0.07	0.04	0.06	0.02	23	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.19	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.11	-0.06	12	40%	-0.00	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.01	-0.18	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.22	-0.15	-0.02	10	21%	-0.28	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.15	-0.03	16	61%	0.27	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	-0.04	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.2,0.05,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	0.01	15	62%	0.04	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.20	-0.02	8	35%	-0.04	5	-0.30	4	75%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38	-0.38	-0.18	-0.21	-0.01	17	35%	-0.34	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	28.1	15.4	28.6	2.6	37.4	1.5	21.7	164.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.5%

PHI +15.5%

PHI +24.2%

VAN -15.2%

PHI +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	VAN	NBA	PHI	VAN	NBA
this game	14.7	17.7	15.8	96.9	91.8	99.6
season	15.6	16.4		97.0	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	12.7	14.6	14.1	19.2	11.6	14.7
VAN	17.9	17.5	21.2	15.1	16.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	83	83	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-12	29	14.0	18.5	-4.52	18.2	15.3	2.93
Matt Geiger	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	14.1	16.1	-2.04	17.9	17.4	0.57
Eric Snow	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-2	9	15.7	11.6	4.08	18.4	15.5	2.90
Theo Ratliff	92	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	3	-1	15.1	8.3	6.79	17.6	20.2	-2.59
George Lynch	66	69	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-2	9	15.1	13.9	1.18	18.7	15.6	3.07
Nazr Mohammed	16	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-1	7	12.6	15.1	-2.56	18.2	17.7	0.54
Harvey Grant	37	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.43	-12	17	-29	16.5	13.6	2.82	17.0	18.2	-1.16
Aaron McKie	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	11	-17	11.0	15.7	-4.71	14.3	18.6	-4.33
Larry Hughes	34	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	10	-15	15.0	14.5	0.45	15.8	18.7	-2.86

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Henderson	42	44	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.11	18	-23	41	17.1	18.2	-1.18	15.7	13.9	1.73
Michael Smith	48	47	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-12	19	17.6	17.9	-0.28	15.0	14.4	0.61
DeJuan Wheat	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	18.4	17.5	0.91	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Pete Chilcutt	62	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-17	29	16.6	19.6	-2.99	15.2	13.9	1.32
Cherokee Parks	15	15	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	12	-29	19.8	17.4	2.43	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Mike Bibby	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	4	-13	17.5	18.4	-0.91	15.0	13.9	1.09
Tony Massenburg	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	7	-19	18.4	16.1	2.26	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	89	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	0	-5	17.8	17.4	0.33	14.9	13.5	1.41
Felipe Lopez	65	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.16	-23	18	-41	18.1	17.0	1.17	13.8	16.4	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.17,0.18,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.16,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	89.6%
GSW 101, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.08,0	88.9%
PHX 109, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	88.3%