NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	10.0 [56]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +79.1%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	1.2 [634]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -27.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.79	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.79	0.27	0.54	0.02	16	92%	0.84	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.03	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
James Posey	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.00	7	79%	0.35	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17,-0.06,0,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	18	53%	0.23	3	-0.15	7	71%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.16	-0.04	17	32%	-0.19	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.6	0.60	0.11	0.51	0.02	21	67%	0.75	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	49%	0.20	3	-0.21	9	100%	0.08
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	23%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	31.6	21.4	30.9	2.0	33.2	2.7	20.3	168.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.5%

TOR -9.4%

TOR -1.9%

TOR -6.2%

BOS +12.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	17.1	15.9	15.4	102.1	97.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.6		108.0	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	17.1	17.3	16.8	18.9	13.5	17.1
TOR	16.3	15.4	16.7	16.3	13.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	78	80	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.5	19.6	-3.06	16.6	12.6	3.93
Kendrick Perkins	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-3	9	17.4	16.7	0.64	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Paul Pierce	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	2	-1	17.3	15.7	1.60	15.5	18.1	-2.53
Ray Allen	90	91	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	4	-5	17.2	15.8	1.32	15.5	22.2	-6.69
Brian Scalabrine	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-4	11	16.9	17.2	-0.30	16.6	15.6	0.95
Rajon Rondo	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	2	-1	17.2	16.9	0.35	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Tony Allen	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	14.2	17.3	-3.10	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Eddie House	46	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	4	-5	16.4	17.7	-1.31	16.5	15.3	1.17
James Posey	41	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	3	-3	17.5	16.7	0.81	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Scot Pollard	7	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	11	-19	17.0	17.1	-0.08	18.3	15.7	2.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	32	33	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.05	13	-16	29	17.0	15.3	1.66	17.1	17.0	0.07
Jorge Garbajosa	16	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	17.6	15.5	2.08	16.6	17.2	-0.56
Jason Kapono	56	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.34	17.9	15.8	2.10
Jose Calderon	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	18.2	14.8	3.39	17.0	17.1	-0.16
Carlos Delfino	56	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-2	1	16.4	15.2	1.11	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Chris Bosh	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-3	3	15.7	16.7	-0.96	17.0	17.3	-0.31
Anthony Parker	53	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	7	-17	15.2	16.8	-1.62	16.8	17.4	-0.60
T.J. Ford	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.8	18.2	-3.39	17.1	17.0	0.16
Rasho Nesterovic	21	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.5	15.7	0.75	17.0	17.1	-0.03
Andrea Bargnani	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	11	-25	15.6	16.5	-0.90	17.2	16.9	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 125, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	91.2%
PHX 109, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	90.6%
IND 86, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	90.4%