NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	6.8 [256]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +8.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	3.5 [180]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -31.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	12	75%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	4	80%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Grant Hill	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32	-0.24	-0.11	-0.04	29	38%	-0.11	7	-0.21	3	33%	-0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	14	51%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	56%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	12	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	5	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	-0.03	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.4	29.3	15.5	22.7	2.0	43.2	136.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -25.2%

CLE +33.7%

CLE +7.5%

CLE +27.8%

CLE +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.8	86.3	90.5	99.6
season	16.6	16.3		101.4	97.3
opponent	16.2	16.1		99.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.2	17.0	14.8	13.3	14.7
CLE	14.6	16.5	18.0	13.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	58	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	15.7	13.2	2.44	16.6	13.9	2.69
Don Reid	43	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-7	10	15.7	13.8	1.90	16.6	14.7	1.87
Bison Dele	35	37	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-6	8	14.1	15.0	-0.94	15.7	15.5	0.20
Grant Hill	78	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	13.5	20.2	-6.66	15.9	14.5	1.39
Joe Dumars	71	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-9	14	13.6	17.8	-4.19	15.8	15.2	0.59
Jerome Williams	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	4	-12	15.9	13.9	2.07	14.2	16.5	-2.28
Eric Montross	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	0	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.7	14.8	1.97
Loy Vaught	17	18	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	2	-8	17.6	14.1	3.51	17.2	15.2	1.99
Jud Buechler	36	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	3	-10	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.4	16.9	-3.55
Jerry Stackhouse	57	54	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.37	-13	9	-22	14.8	14.5	0.30	14.1	17.6	-3.56

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	41	42	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.22	13	-9	22	13.0	17.6	-4.51	15.6	14.0	1.64
Brevin Knight	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-2	8	15.3	16.9	-1.63	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Danny Ferry	29	31	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-12	28	15.4	15.7	-0.33	18.3	13.0	5.27
Shawn Kemp	58	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	4	-4	14.5	17.3	-2.81	13.4	16.5	-3.11
Corie Blount	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	1	2	17.8	14.3	3.58	15.1	14.5	0.61
Wesley Person	74	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	5	-6	14.8	18.4	-3.56	13.9	17.5	-3.60
Bob Sura	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	3	-2	17.7	14.8	2.87	15.9	14.2	1.68
Earl Boykins	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	17.6	15.2	2.36	17.3	14.2	3.12
Andrew DeClercq	59	58	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	16.4	14.3	2.15	15.1	14.1	1.07
Cedric Henderson	62	62	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.30	-17	21	-38	16.4	14.2	2.19	12.9	18.2	-5.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.73,0.87,0.77,0.94,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.1%
ATL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%