NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	7.6 [171]		MVP	Dee Brown (TOR): +22.2%
Charlotte Hornets	91		Comeback	1.5 [412]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -23.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.01	9	83%	0.29	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	79%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	55%	-0.04	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.06,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	0.00	14	47%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.24	-0.00	-0.23	0.00	12	56%	-0.19	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Charles Shackleford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.13	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.12
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	18	51%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.03
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	10	38%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	29.3	15.8	26.2	2.5	38.5	138.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +28.0%

TOR -2.4%

CHH +4.8%

CHH +15.0%

CHH +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHH	NBA	TOR	CHH	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.8	100.0	103.4	99.6
season	15.6	15.7		99.0	99.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.4	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	13.3	17.7	16.7	15.9
CHH	14.5	18.0	17.4	17.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	39	38	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.05	10	-13	23	15.9	15.9	0.02	17.2	16.6	0.65
Reggie Slater	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-6	9	17.8	15.6	2.21	18.8	16.5	2.31
Alvin Williams	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	17.2	14.7	2.50	18.0	15.9	2.12
Charles Oakley	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-7	11	16.2	15.4	0.78	17.1	16.4	0.72
John Wallace	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	15.2	16.9	-1.69	17.5	15.9	1.66
Dee Brown	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	14.7	17.2	-2.50	15.9	18.0	-2.12
Kevin Willis	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	6	-15	16.9	14.8	2.09	16.7	17.0	-0.28
John Thomas	26	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	8	-19	14.2	16.6	-2.46	15.1	17.6	-2.45
Vince Carter	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.7	16.7	-1.00	16.9	16.5	0.39
Doug Christie	52	53	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.35	-15	12	-27	16.0	15.8	0.18	16.1	18.0	-1.97

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-5	13	16.1	20.3	-4.13	16.5	12.7	3.88
Chuck Person	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-1	5	16.2	21.1	-4.91	16.2	13.9	2.28
David Wesley	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	17.0	10.0	7.00	16.2	4.5	11.65
Bobby Phills	84	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	17.1	10.5	6.64	15.9	15.0	0.94
J.R. Reid	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	16.7	17.4	-0.61	16.2	14.5	1.71
Ricky Davis	9	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-2	7	17.7	16.7	0.92	9.3	16.6	-7.30
Chucky Brown	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	21.6	16.4	5.14	11.9	16.2	-4.38
Willie Burton	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	10.3	17.3	-6.98	12.0	16.2	-4.22
Charles Shackleford	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	21.1	16.5	4.67	15.3	15.9	-0.65
Brad Miller	18	19	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	19.0	16.3	2.71	15.8	15.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.72,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	92.6%
DAL 100, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.73,1	92.3%
UTA 62, DET 64	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.68,0.58,1	92.2%