NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Excitement	4.8 [517]		MVP	Dennis Scott (NYK): +9.6%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.0 [616]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -19.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.05
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	14	47%	-0.11	3	-0.09	12	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	13	52%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	69%	0.03	5	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	32.3	15.8	23.2	1.8	38.0	140.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +74.8%

CLE -15.6%

CLE -10.9%

CLE -0.1%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.8	86.7	94.4	99.6
season	16.3	16.0		97.3	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.2		95.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	17.8	16.6	13.5	16.1
NYK	15.8	18.2	16.9	13.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	17.7	15.8	1.91	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Antonio Lang	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	16.5	16.0	0.47	16.6	15.9	0.70
Danny Ferry	43	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-11	15	14.8	17.2	-2.38	16.4	15.6	0.81
Bob Sura	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	16.2	16.0	0.24	18.1	14.9	3.17
Johnny Newman	34	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	15.4	16.5	-1.12	16.5	15.6	0.90
Cedric Henderson	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	16.5	15.4	1.12	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Vitaly Potapenko	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	16.2	15.9	0.27	16.3	15.0	1.24
Derek Anderson	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	15.8	16.9	-1.06	15.7	16.8	-1.17
Brevin Knight	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	1	-9	15.9	16.6	-0.69	15.1	18.3	-3.23
Shawn Kemp	63	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	6	-19	16.8	14.4	2.33	15.5	17.2	-1.75

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-5	17	14.5	20.5	-5.94	16.1	16.0	0.04
Patrick Ewing	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	15.2	19.2	-4.05	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Allan Houston	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	3	1	15.9	15.8	0.10	16.1	16.2	-0.16
Kurt Thomas	42	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-4	15	15.6	16.2	-0.66	16.8	15.4	1.37
Larry Johnson	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	16.1	15.4	0.67	15.7	17.6	-1.90
Chris Childs	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	8	-9	16.2	15.6	0.60	14.7	18.2	-3.53
Chris Dudley	8	8	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	22.9	15.2	7.63	18.2	15.9	2.38
Dennis Scott	34	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	10	-13	19.0	14.0	4.99	16.5	15.8	0.65
Marcus Camby	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	16.4	15.8	0.55	19.3	15.4	3.93
David Wingate	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	1.0	16.1	-15.09	25.0	16.0	9.02
Herb Williams	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	11.3	16.1	-4.75	15.5	16.1	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 94, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
BOS 87, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%