NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	82		Excitement	4.6 [918]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +20.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.0 [1297]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -13.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	20	67%	0.15	7	-0.09	12	83%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Laron Profit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.04	0.03	15	71%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	22	59%	0.14	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	29.3	15.5	26.4	2.6	26.2	127.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.8%

LAL -1.5%

MIN +5.5%

MIN +11.6%

MIN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.5	17.6	15.6	101.2	114.5	104.4
season	15.6	16.1		106.2	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.1	18.6	20.2	14.4	17.5
MIN	18.0	17.4	15.8	19.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-10	7	18.0	17.1	0.85	17.4	17.8	-0.42
Luke Walton	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-14	15	17.0	17.8	-0.77	18.2	17.2	1.01
Laron Profit	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-8	3	21.5	17.1	4.40	14.1	18.0	-3.90
Brian Cook	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-5	-3	18.7	16.6	2.19	17.9	17.4	0.51
Devean George	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	17.4	17.7	-0.26	18.5	16.9	1.57
Sasha Vujacic	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-7	1	16.6	18.5	-1.96	17.0	18.2	-1.22
Chris Mihm	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	17.3	18.1	-0.80	17.5	17.7	-0.17
Kwame Brown	21	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	18.3	17.2	1.08	16.6	18.0	-1.36
Kobe Bryant	69	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-3	-7	17.3	18.9	-1.63	17.7	17.2	0.50
Lamar Odom	67	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	17.2	18.9	-1.69	17.9	15.9	2.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-5	23	17.8	16.0	1.83	17.6	16.9	0.72
Marko Jaric	67	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	17.8	16.7	1.12	17.3	18.7	-1.48
Wally Szczerbiak	71	68	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-2	17	17.7	16.7	0.98	17.1	19.6	-2.48
Kevin Garnett	68	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-4	21	18.2	14.7	3.57	18.0	15.5	2.53
Michael Olowokandi	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	2	9	18.9	16.5	2.40	18.9	16.3	2.57
Eddie Griffin	42	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	12	-11	16.8	18.4	-1.58	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Mark Madsen	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	14.7	18.2	-3.57	15.5	18.0	-2.53
Rashad McCants	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	15	-17	16.7	17.7	-0.98	19.6	17.1	2.48
Anthony Carter	31	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	22	-31	16.0	18.5	-2.49	17.0	17.8	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.6%
NYK 91, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIA 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.2%