inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 101 Excitement3.4 [677] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs 87 Comeback1.3 [324] LVPMario Elie (SAS): -13.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.01-0.01978%0.1300.005100%0.03
John Stockton0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.02970%0.093-0.032100%0.00
Bryon Russell0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.01771%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Howard Eisley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00657%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Chris King0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0300%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.01-0.05530%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00358%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Adam Keefe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.07350%-0.013-0.016100%0.01
Greg Foster-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00450%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone-0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.012453%0.034-0.07989%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.011755%0.051-0.01425%-0.03
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02765%0.041-0.02650%0.00
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Gaze0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02650%0.011-0.01450%-0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00260%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.120.00-0.08636%0.014-0.04250%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01835%-0.0400.001100%0.01
Sean Elliott0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.031135%-0.042-0.04450%-0.03
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.02744%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Mario Elie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.00-0.011036%-0.065-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.528.917.029.02.832.6141.8
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +27.6%
UTA +16.9%
UTA +0.6%
UTA +10.1%
SAS -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game15.515.915.8112.293.599.6
season16.415.9102.6101.1
opponent15.916.092.796.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA13.615.318.614.715.5
SAS18.314.715.715.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Hornacek56570.53-0.030.56-0.1222-83015.216.0-0.7216.015.90.14
Karl Malone71720.52-0.020.55-0.2125-113615.416.1-0.7416.115.30.85
Greg Ostertag67670.370.130.25-0.1819-52416.113.92.1617.013.33.61
Howard Eisley34360.290.210.080.0295415.315.7-0.3716.715.41.31
Adam Keefe62640.280.220.050.16410-615.016.7-1.7815.816.3-0.48
Bryon Russell34350.240.26-0.02-0.06104617.014.62.3316.015.90.04
John Stockton48480.210.29-0.08-0.171311216.214.71.5115.816.1-0.23
Greg Foster21240.070.43-0.350.02212-1015.915.40.4414.216.5-2.29
Todd Fuller680.010.49-0.470.31-1024-3411.015.8-4.8514.916.0-1.17
Chris King990.000.50-0.500.23-822-3013.215.8-2.5613.316.2-2.89
Jacque Vaughn890.000.50-0.500.23-822-3012.215.8-3.5913.316.2-2.89
Shandon Anderson3436-0.030.53-0.560.20-822-3016.015.20.7215.916.0-0.14

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels43400.07-0.570.65-0.2511-253615.116.6-1.5016.314.91.44
Gerard King760.00-0.500.50-0.2910-243414.116.1-1.9511.015.8-4.85
Andrew Gaze1211-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-192413.116.4-3.2912.515.9-3.39
Jaren Jackson4037-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-9415.016.6-1.5716.914.62.33
Malik Rose2422-0.17-0.330.15-0.08-3-11813.116.9-3.8612.616.5-3.82
Jerome Kersey2727-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-9418.115.03.1014.615.9-1.38
Mario Elie5354-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-5-417.214.32.8916.014.81.24
Tim Duncan6969-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-6-215.816.3-0.4716.512.44.04
Steve Kerr2925-0.33-0.17-0.170.08-140-1413.217.2-4.0313.116.5-3.38
David Robinson6662-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-12-2-1016.215.30.9215.914.61.28
Avery Johnson4445-0.43-0.07-0.370.06-173-2017.514.62.9115.515.50.02
Sean Elliott5152-0.530.03-0.560.15-239-3217.214.42.8115.715.20.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 99, MIN 790.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
UTA 92, NYK 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
IND 104, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%