NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	5.5 [441]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAC): +11.7%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	1.0 [272]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -15.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.04	-0.05	8	81%	0.18	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	13	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.10	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	15	52%	0.03	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	8	85%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	7	14%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	18	45%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	41%	-0.08	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	14	46%	-0.05	4	-0.11	7	86%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	30.2	15.3	22.7	1.6	27.2	123.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.7%

SAC +14.0%

SAC +16.9%

WAS -10.6%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.8	116.2	102.9	99.6
season	14.1	15.5		100.1	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	15.0	14.7	17.9	14.9
WAS	13.8	14.4	14.7	12.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	44	46	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-2	14	16.2	13.9	2.23	13.0	14.4	-1.45
Jason Williams	87	89	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	14.5	17.7	-3.22	13.5	15.7	-2.22
Chris Webber	90	93	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.25	5	5	0	15.2	12.0	3.21	13.5	16.8	-3.32
Lawrence Funderburke	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	0	10	15.7	14.3	1.33	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Jon Barry	20	20	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	0	10	15.4	14.8	0.67	15.1	13.4	1.67
Vlade Divac	64	67	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	14.0	16.6	-2.60	14.3	12.8	1.50
Vernon Maxwell	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	11	-12	16.7	13.7	3.07	13.1	14.2	-1.14
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	51	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	6	-2	13.9	16.0	-2.02	14.2	13.2	1.03
Corliss Williamson	55	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	12	-14	13.9	16.2	-2.23	14.4	13.0	1.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	20	19	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-15	20	12.9	14.0	-1.00	17.0	14.4	2.57
Jahidi White	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.2	14.1	-5.94	16.8	14.8	2.04
Jeff McInnis	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.2	14.1	-5.94	16.8	14.8	2.04
Randell Jackson	56	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-11	12	13.3	14.3	-1.00	15.1	14.8	0.30
Terry Davis	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	13.6	13.8	-0.17	15.5	14.9	0.65
Calbert Cheaney	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-12	14	12.7	14.6	-1.93	15.2	14.7	0.56
Ben Wallace	53	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	14.6	12.8	1.81	14.0	15.9	-1.98
Tracy Murray	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	14.2	13.4	0.74	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Mitch Richmond	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	1	-12	13.9	13.4	0.55	14.9	14.9	0.04
Juwan Howard	75	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	14.3	12.3	1.93	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	14.5	13.3	1.19	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Rod Strickland	80	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	5	-20	13.9	13.0	0.90	14.5	16.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 103, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
SEA 103, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%