NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	6.4 [310]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +14.3%
Dallas Mavericks	89		Comeback	1.9 [252]		LVP	Roshown McLeod (ATL): -15.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	14	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.04
Ed Gray	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,-0.07,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	22	49%	-0.01	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Roshown McLeod	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	0.01	-0.13	0.03	16	47%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	11	79%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	11	32%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	13	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	39%	-0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	29.2	16.5	23.3	1.8	34.2	130.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.4%

DAL +3.9%

ATL -11.9%

DAL +1.0%

DAL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.8	93.4	97.8	99.6
season	16.7	15.9		97.2	99.7
opponent	15.6	16.3		102.3	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	14.6	17.0	14.5	15.2
DAL	13.8	16.0	18.2	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	8	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	19.9	14.8	5.08	17.9	16.3	1.57
LaPhonso Ellis	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-2	0	15.5	14.9	0.65	16.0	16.9	-0.93
Tyrone Corbin	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	0	-4	16.0	15.0	1.01	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Grant Long	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-10	16	14.8	15.6	-0.82	18.1	14.6	3.49
Anthony Johnson	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-8	12	15.2	15.4	-0.21	17.9	14.2	3.74
Ed Gray	32	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	7	-18	15.4	15.2	0.25	13.8	17.6	-3.89
Alan Henderson	47	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.8	0.82	14.6	18.1	-3.49
Mookie Blaylock	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-7	10	15.0	16.4	-1.37	16.5	15.9	0.57
Roshown McLeod	41	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-2	0	14.6	15.7	-1.11	17.2	15.7	1.57
Dikembe Mutombo	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-3	2	14.9	18.2	-3.31	16.1	19.5	-3.39

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	16.2	17.7	-1.55	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Steve Nash	42	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.38	1	3	-2	16.3	16.5	-0.14	15.4	15.1	0.34
Gary Trent	63	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	4	-4	17.0	15.2	1.77	14.4	17.0	-2.67
Shawn Bradley	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	4	-4	16.8	15.4	1.39	15.4	14.8	0.61
Hubert Davis	27	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-4	12	17.1	16.1	1.00	14.6	15.5	-0.98
Chris Anstey	21	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-2	8	17.5	16.1	1.45	16.0	15.0	0.92
Cedric Ceballos	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.30	-4	8	-12	15.7	17.6	-1.83	15.8	14.3	1.56
A.C. Green	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	6	-8	15.5	17.1	-1.60	15.7	14.8	0.88
Dirk Nowitzki	10	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	15.5	16.5	-1.02	15.6	15.2	0.45
Robert Pack	49	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	16.5	16.3	0.14	14.9	15.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.9,0.96,0.96,1,1	93.3%
NJN 104, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.99,1	93.1%
PHX 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	93.0%