NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	4.6 [540]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +6.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.0 [631]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -13.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.03	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	65%	-0.00	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.08	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	21	40%	-0.06	3	-0.04	8	25%	-0.07
Corliss Williamson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	10	33%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	16	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	21	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	18	56%	0.09	6	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	14	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	-0.08	10	10%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.8	24.4	15.4	24.5	1.7	34.3	130.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.9%

MIN +8.0%

MIN +1.5%

MIN +15.0%

SAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	14.4	15.8	85.7	99.0	99.6
season	14.1	15.0		100.1	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	15.8	13.4	10.0	13.3
MIN	11.7	12.4	17.9	16.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	5.0	13.6	-8.59	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Terry Dehere	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	8.7	13.6	-4.89	13.0	14.5	-1.54
Vernon Maxwell	43	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-21	30	12.5	13.8	-1.32	16.7	12.8	3.96
Jon Barry	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-19	26	12.3	14.4	-2.09	16.1	12.5	3.59
Peja Stojakovic	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-7	2	15.0	12.8	2.25	15.8	14.0	1.77
Lawrence Funderburke	81	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-15	18	12.4	16.2	-3.76	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Corliss Williamson	70	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-7	2	13.3	13.2	0.14	14.0	15.3	-1.24
Vlade Divac	40	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	8	-28	16.4	11.4	5.02	14.7	14.2	0.53
Chris Webber	88	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	12.9	15.1	-2.14	14.7	13.1	1.61
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	50	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.12	-19	7	-26	14.4	12.3	2.09	12.5	16.1	-3.59
Jason Williams	62	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	9	-30	13.8	12.5	1.32	12.8	16.7	-3.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	62	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.20	27	-15	42	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.0	12.1	1.92
Stephon Marbury	83	84	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-9	30	14.4	14.4	0.05	13.9	10.6	3.37
Kevin Garnett	91	91	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.01	19	-7	26	14.5	14.3	0.12	13.5	11.7	1.79
Joe Smith	83	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-4	20	14.3	14.9	-0.64	13.0	14.3	-1.29
Dean Garrett	46	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	0	12	16.5	12.8	3.77	15.0	11.7	3.23
Bill Curley	23	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	9	-6	11.1	15.4	-4.31	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Tom Hammonds	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	16	-20	14.2	14.5	-0.26	11.9	13.7	-1.85
Chris Carr	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	9.5	14.5	-5.03	5.0	13.5	-8.51
Andrae Patterson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	9.5	14.5	-5.03	5.0	13.5	-8.51
Sam Mitchell	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	21	-30	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.0	13.0	1.06
Bobby Jackson	20	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	21	-30	14.4	14.4	-0.05	10.6	13.9	-3.37
Malik Sealy	45	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.26	-12	24	-36	14.6	14.3	0.33	12.0	14.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 75, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 88, PHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.8%