inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 78 Excitement4.1 [611] MVPJohnny Newman (CLE): +18.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 90 Comeback1.1 [521] LVPAnfernee Hardaway (ORL): -11.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Austin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00775%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Dan Schayes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dominique Wilkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derek Strong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01954%-0.001-0.028100%0.03
Gerald Wilkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0410%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Doug Overton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.05225%-0.042-0.01450%-0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00761%0.035-0.11475%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.01833%-0.071-0.0220%-0.02
Nick Anderson-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.01837%-0.081-0.01367%-0.01
Horace Grant-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.02825%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.021532%-0.063-0.0510%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.040.016107%0.1800.002100%0.01
Wesley Person0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.000.036100%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.001267%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05669%0.044-0.034100%0.01
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06736%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03350%0.003-0.042100%0.01
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02625%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001069%0.046-0.106100%0.02
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01729%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.432.615.027.32.429.2133.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +61.2%
CLE +2.7%
ORL -17.0%
CLE +1.9%
CLE +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCLENBAORLCLENBA
this game15.415.815.883.997.899.6
season16.116.398.097.3
opponent16.215.699.295.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.314.016.217.615.4
CLE16.313.715.118.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Overton1615-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-182411.916.1-4.2316.115.70.37
Dan Schayes77-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-9614.615.4-0.8719.115.53.66
Dominique Wilkins1415-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-131414.915.5-0.6118.115.32.75
Michael Doleac99-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-121211.315.8-4.4817.815.52.24
Gerald Wilkins1717-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-8413.515.8-2.3315.515.8-0.36
Nick Anderson5759-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-111015.615.10.4815.715.9-0.23
Matt Harpring2219-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-4-415.715.30.4016.415.60.77
Ike Austin4344-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-3-615.815.00.8115.615.9-0.28
Horace Grant4748-0.27-0.23-0.040.03-10-2-817.113.63.4516.315.21.11
Anfernee Hardaway6564-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-5-7215.115.9-0.7915.416.7-1.32
Bo Outlaw7271-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-3-615.714.31.3515.018.3-3.27
Derek Strong5452-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.20-6-6015.115.8-0.6815.715.8-0.16
Darrell Armstrong4240-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-120-1216.114.81.3115.316.1-0.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob Sura48500.53-0.030.560.0616-42016.115.40.6716.414.22.26
Vitaly Potapenko76760.440.060.380.121111016.114.21.9015.713.91.76
Johnny Newman24270.440.060.37-0.0316-42015.515.9-0.4116.514.91.61
Danny Ferry35370.430.070.360.111111014.816.4-1.5516.114.91.13
Derek Anderson53550.290.210.080.1748-415.116.7-1.6616.014.51.48
Brevin Knight43420.200.30-0.100.0266016.415.21.2813.616.8-3.16
Antonio Lang11120.120.38-0.27-0.0666015.515.8-0.3514.315.5-1.20
Cedric Henderson64610.050.45-0.390.17-416-2016.015.20.7915.315.6-0.28
Shawn Kemp62610.010.49-0.470.13-416-2016.015.40.5814.816.5-1.76
Wesley Person4444-0.010.51-0.530.04-214-1615.416.1-0.6714.516.1-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 93, PHI 1080.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.9%
MIA 76, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.8%
MIL 95, UTA 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%