NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	7.7 [164]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIA): +24.5%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.1 [302]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -33.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	7	81%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	16	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Dan Majerle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Askins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03	-0.19	0.12	-0.03	21	35%	0.08	4	-0.12	4	50%	0.03
Mark Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	7	40%	-0.02	3	-0.17	1	0%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	15	34%	-0.11	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	17	38%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	3	83%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	19	51%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	8	29%	-0.16	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.07
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	25	42%	-0.14	3	-0.11	7	57%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.33	-0.33	-0.21	-0.12	-0.00	12	19%	-0.19	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	29.5	18.4	26.5	2.6	35.8	139.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +74.1%

MIA +12.3%

NYK -37.7%

MIA +2.3%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	15.0	15.8	92.2	86.8	99.6
season	16.6	16.0		101.3	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.7		95.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.1	16.3	15.4	19.2	16.9
NYK	15.0	15.7	13.4	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-8	20	15.9	21.1	-5.24	15.6	12.3	3.35
P.J. Brown	54	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.30	12	-8	20	16.6	17.2	-0.55	15.2	14.6	0.60
Jamal Mashburn	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-4	12	17.0	16.1	0.96	15.2	13.5	1.72
Alonzo Mourning	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-5	14	15.9	21.2	-5.31	15.8	11.4	4.44
Dan Majerle	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	2	0	15.5	20.3	-4.78	15.2	14.3	0.87
Mark Davis	10	9	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	1	2	10.6	17.6	-7.05	18.0	14.6	3.37
Terry Porter	39	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.41	-11	15	-26	19.9	14.5	5.44	13.2	16.5	-3.26
Keith Askins	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	21.0	16.2	4.77	12.2	15.3	-3.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	49	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.18	-13	17	-30	19.4	13.8	5.58	13.3	17.0	-3.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	32	31	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-16	28	11.8	16.7	-4.87	20.4	15.0	5.42
Chris Childs	44	44	0.17	-0.68	0.85	-0.32	17	-21	38	12.3	17.5	-5.17	19.7	14.2	5.55
Chris Dudley	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-5	6	10.5	15.5	-5.02	23.0	16.0	6.99
Marcus Camby	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-4	4	14.8	15.0	-0.17	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Allan Houston	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	14.8	15.6	-0.76	16.4	19.2	-2.82
Larry Johnson	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	2	-8	16.1	11.9	4.20	16.2	18.7	-2.46
Patrick Ewing	74	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	6	-16	16.0	10.4	5.67	15.7	22.0	-6.33
Latrell Sprewell	75	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	11	-26	15.6	12.1	3.45	16.2	19.8	-3.58
Charlie Ward	66	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.31	-16	12	-28	16.1	11.9	4.20	15.7	20.0	-4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.17,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.15,0	93.7%
LAC 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.02,0	92.5%
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	92.4%