NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	8.2 [194]		MVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): +27.5%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.9 [965]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -54.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	11	45%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	23	53%	0.17	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Benoit Benjamin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.27	-0.06	-0.20	0.01	6	57%	0.01	4	-0.28	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.55	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.55	-0.12	-0.42	0.00	20	43%	-0.32	4	-0.23	6	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.13	0.04	21	75%	0.33	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.06
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	4	31%	-0.15	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.14
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	6	31%	-0.10	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	25.1	15.8	28.0	1.8	33.3	126.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.4%

ATL +8.8%

PHI -26.8%

ATL +50.2%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.6	105.6	104.4	102.5
season	15.4	16.1		99.7	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.5		101.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.8	14.9	18.0	15.4	16.8
ATL	13.3	16.4	13.3	18.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	49	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-5	9	16.5	17.1	-0.66	15.5	14.9	0.64
Anthony Parker	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	16.9	16.8	0.13	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Benoit Benjamin	24	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	3	-7	14.1	17.8	-3.70	13.3	15.9	-2.63
Mark Davis	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.62	16	-17	33	15.5	19.2	-3.70	16.0	13.9	2.07
Eric Snow	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-3	5	17.1	16.5	0.62	15.9	14.6	1.28
Theo Ratliff	70	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-7	13	17.4	14.6	2.81	16.2	11.4	4.88
Joe Smith	29	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	12	-25	18.0	16.2	1.85	12.3	16.7	-4.32
Derrick Coleman	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	1	-3	17.5	13.4	4.07	15.7	13.2	2.40
Allen Iverson	78	80	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.56	-9	8	-17	16.9	15.8	1.10	14.6	19.5	-4.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	85	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-6	13	14.7	22.3	-7.60	17.0	13.7	3.33
Tyrone Corbin	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	-2	5	14.8	16.4	-1.67	17.9	14.0	3.93
Dikembe Mutombo	76	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	-4	9	15.1	15.8	-0.68	17.1	15.3	1.80
Steven Smith	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	15.1	15.7	-0.60	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Eldridge Recasner	37	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	6	-11	16.9	14.1	2.80	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Alan Henderson	71	71	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	9	-17	15.0	15.9	-0.92	16.2	19.0	-2.77
Christian Laettner	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	-2	5	16.8	14.6	2.22	18.0	16.3	1.72
Anthony Miller	9	9	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	-1	3	15.0	15.3	-0.26	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Chucky Brown	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	-1	3	15.6	15.2	0.44	13.9	17.4	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.97,1	92.5%
LAL 105, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.6,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,1	92.2%
PHI 83, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	92.1%