NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	4.8 [819]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +6.2%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.0 [949]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -20.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.04
Derrick McKey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	14%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.24	0.00	-0.09	4	25%	-0.02	10	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Hanson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	7	73%	0.07	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	13	59%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	15	60%	0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	15	39%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.22	-0.02	-0.04	21	30%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	23.2	15.0	29.5	1.8	28.0	122.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.2%

IND +1.6%

BOS -3.1%

IND +9.8%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.6	98.9	90.6	102.5
season	16.0	15.1		105.3	100.2
opponent	15.1	16.1		103.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	15.0	16.6	16.5	15.6
BOS	15.2	17.0	12.9	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	0	6	16.4	12.4	3.94	14.1	17.2	-3.16
Dale Davis	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-4	14	16.1	14.7	1.45	13.6	16.6	-3.08
Mark Jackson	54	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-2	10	16.5	14.3	2.18	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Reggie Miller	80	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	16.2	11.7	4.51	14.1	18.9	-4.87
Jalen Rose	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	4	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.68	15.1	14.3	0.83
Chris Mullin	53	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-2	10	14.8	16.5	-1.66	15.5	13.8	1.64
Derrick McKey	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	6	-6	14.8	16.0	-1.20	17.2	13.3	3.92
Travis Best	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	8	-10	14.3	16.5	-2.18	16.2	13.7	2.49
Rik Smits	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	12.5	16.5	-4.05	16.3	14.3	1.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Hanson	2	2	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	6.0	15.0	-8.96	12.5	15.6	-3.12
Tyus Edney	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-10	14	15.8	14.4	1.42	11.8	16.9	-5.17
Greg Minor	56	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.41	12	-18	30	14.4	15.3	-0.99	17.1	13.3	3.76
Andrew DeClercq	30	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.4	1.16	13.9	16.2	-2.31
Zan Tabak	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-10	14	14.4	15.1	-0.75	16.6	14.5	2.04
Travis Knight	24	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	13.9	15.1	-1.19	16.5	15.2	1.32
Walter McCarty	69	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	3	-12	15.6	12.7	2.82	14.2	18.7	-4.50
Ron Mercer	85	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.2	19.3	-5.08	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Dana Barros	70	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	4	-14	14.4	15.8	-1.42	16.9	11.8	5.17
Antoine Walker	70	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.09	-19	13	-32	15.5	12.8	2.69	15.3	16.1	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0	95.1%
BOS 112, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.0%
MIA 119, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%