NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	78		Excitement	3.3 [1087]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +14.2%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.0 [1228]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): -9.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Schayes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Derek Strong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	58%	-0.01	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.03
Mark Price	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	57%	0.01
David Benoit	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	25	62%	0.14	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.03
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	16	34%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	25.6	15.5	24.5	2.6	27.2	124.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.3%

ORL -15.9%

ORL -1.4%

CHI +18.1%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.6	90.7	98.9	102.5
season	16.7	16.2		100.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		97.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.1	15.1	15.3	15.6	15.8
CHI	14.9	20.9	16.0	17.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	15.3	16.0	-0.67	19.3	16.3	2.99
Kevin Ollie	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-19	29	15.3	16.4	-1.13	18.1	16.3	1.82
Gerald Wilkins	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-17	25	14.7	16.8	-2.10	19.0	15.6	3.38
Derek Strong	60	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-16	23	15.3	16.9	-1.57	17.7	16.4	1.25
Dan Schayes	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.20	-16	7	-23	17.2	15.2	2.03	16.5	17.6	-1.13
Horace Grant	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	15.9	15.4	0.47	16.3	22.1	-5.83
Mark Price	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	10	-29	16.4	15.3	1.13	16.3	18.1	-1.82
Nick Anderson	68	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	0	-9	16.1	14.7	1.35	16.1	21.8	-5.63
Bo Outlaw	47	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	15	-39	16.3	15.2	1.12	17.7	16.9	0.83

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	80	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-8	25	16.7	23.1	-6.41	16.1	13.0	3.08
Michael Jordan	64	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-13	35	16.6	19.2	-2.69	16.1	14.8	1.32
Ron Harper	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	-5	19	17.5	17.0	0.46	16.1	15.4	0.73
Dennis Rodman	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	1	7	17.4	17.2	0.17	16.4	14.6	1.77
Bill Wennington	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	-4	17	17.0	17.5	-0.52	16.3	15.5	0.83
Dickey Simpkins	18	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	17.8	17.2	0.61	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Jud Buechler	36	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	17.8	17.0	0.82	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Steve Kerr	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	11	-13	18.6	16.8	1.77	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Joe Kleine	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	17	-25	16.6	17.5	-0.86	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Scott Burrell	38	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	20	-31	18.3	16.5	1.75	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Randy Brown	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	17	-25	17.6	17.2	0.45	15.9	15.7	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 103, CLE 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 91, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%