NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	3.9 [989]		MVP	Jerald Honeycutt (MIL): +16.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	114		Comeback	1.2 [1096]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): -14.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Garner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.02	19	49%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	16	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Oliver Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	-0.00	-0.06	12	77%	0.17	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.00	0.01	12	93%	0.20	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.02	13	73%	0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	3	44%	-0.01	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.0	15.6	26.4	2.3	31.3	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.0%

MIL +3.7%

TOR -0.7%

MIL +18.5%

MIL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	15.6	106.1	114.0	102.5
season	15.5	16.0		98.7	101.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		102.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	15.5	15.3	13.4	14.8
MIL	14.4	15.2	13.5	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-19	29	11.4	15.8	-4.42	14.3	14.1	0.19
Reggie Slater	45	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-13	17	15.5	14.2	1.32	14.6	13.9	0.76
Chris Garner	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-15	21	12.8	15.7	-2.89	14.1	14.2	-0.17
Alvin Williams	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-6	3	14.9	14.6	0.31	13.7	14.7	-0.94
Tracy McGrady	53	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.0	14.5	0.46	13.5	15.0	-1.55
Oliver Miller	34	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.5	14.4	1.16	14.5	14.0	0.45
John Wallace	63	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	13.8	16.4	-2.63	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Doug Christie	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	15.6	13.3	2.29	14.7	13.2	1.55
Dee Brown	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	14.7	14.9	-0.17	14.3	13.9	0.35
Gary Trent	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	8	-25	16.1	12.9	3.27	14.3	14.0	0.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-6	21	14.8	13.3	1.47	15.6	13.5	2.06
Jerald Honeycutt	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	14.1	14.3	-0.24	13.9	16.7	-2.84
Ervin Johnson	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	14.3	13.9	0.45	14.9	14.5	0.34
Ray Allen	79	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	14.1	14.4	-0.31	15.2	13.3	1.88
Armen Gilliam	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	0	9	14.6	13.7	0.88	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Tyrone Hill	46	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	14.6	13.9	0.71	16.1	13.6	2.42
Michael Curry	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	3	3	14.0	14.4	-0.35	15.7	13.9	1.79
Jamie Feick	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	11	-13	13.7	14.3	-0.60	13.4	15.2	-1.82
Elliot Perry	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	15	-21	13.8	14.5	-0.64	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Litterial Green	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	6.8	14.6	-7.77	8.2	15.0	-6.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 99, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 71, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 99, POR 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%