NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	2.5 [1196]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +7.8%
Orlando Magic	70		Comeback	1.1 [1163]		LVP	Derek Harper (ORL): -10.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.00	-0.09	5	60%	0.08	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	20	57%	0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	21	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	9	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.02	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	24	39%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	6	0%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.3	23.6	16.7	23.2	2.5	26.3	117.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.1%

ORL -0.3%

ORL -5.2%

CHI +11.6%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	17.9	15.6	100.0	83.3	102.5
season	16.2	16.7		105.8	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.4	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.2	16.4	16.5	19.2	16.2
ORL	18.1	19.6	17.0	16.8	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-6	27	15.7	18.0	-2.25	18.9	14.1	4.81
Dennis Rodman	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	0	15	16.0	16.9	-0.87	17.8	18.2	-0.37
Michael Jordan	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	0	15	16.0	16.8	-0.78	18.1	17.0	1.12
Ron Harper	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	2	11	15.5	17.0	-1.49	18.4	17.3	1.11
Toni Kukoc	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	2	11	16.6	15.4	1.25	18.0	17.8	0.21
Steve Kerr	29	28	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	7	1	16.4	16.1	0.32	19.9	16.9	3.05
Dickey Simpkins	27	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	13	-11	16.5	16.1	0.47	17.4	18.1	-0.74
Scott Burrell	30	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	18	-21	17.1	15.7	1.34	17.0	18.3	-1.31
Randy Brown	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	18	-21	17.3	15.8	1.51	15.6	18.7	-3.03
Jud Buechler	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	18	-21	14.0	16.4	-2.40	13.5	18.2	-4.73
Joe Kleine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	18.6	16.0	2.55	8.4	18.5	-10.09

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Lawson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	8.4	18.5	-10.09	18.6	16.0	2.55
Kevin Ollie	48	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-21	27	16.9	19.3	-2.42	16.9	15.3	1.65
Gerald Wilkins	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-11	7	17.9	17.9	-0.03	16.3	16.1	0.20
David Benoit	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-18	21	16.7	18.8	-2.10	18.6	14.4	4.13
Derek Strong	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-14	13	17.5	18.3	-0.88	17.2	15.1	2.09
Dan Schayes	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-1	-13	17.7	18.0	-0.29	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Nick Anderson	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	18.3	16.6	1.70	16.0	16.8	-0.73
Bo Outlaw	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	1	-17	18.3	16.0	2.27	15.5	19.1	-3.53
Derek Harper	36	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	6	-27	19.3	16.9	2.42	15.3	16.9	-1.65
Horace Grant	57	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	3	-21	19.0	15.5	3.50	15.3	18.3	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
OKC 125, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%