NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	3.4 [1072]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +9.9%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.4 [983]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -7.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	63%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	14	56%	0.10	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	67%	0.08	5	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	3	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.07	16	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	20	54%	0.00	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	17.9	2.5	23.3	15.8	23.2	1.6	30.2	114.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.1%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +17.1%

DAL -16.9%

DAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	15.6	108.4	100.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		104.5	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		104.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	15.1	13.8	19.1	15.9
DAL	15.2	16.9	15.0	10.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-14	36	15.5	17.0	-1.51	14.5	14.4	0.12
Kevin Willis	56	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.20	24	-16	40	15.8	15.9	-0.16	15.7	12.5	3.15
Clyde Drexler	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	-9	26	14.8	17.8	-3.01	15.1	13.2	1.92
Mario Elie	61	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	0	8	14.5	18.3	-3.80	14.6	14.2	0.43
Charles Barkley	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	10	-12	16.6	14.7	1.99	13.4	16.1	-2.74
Hakeem Olajuwon	77	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.39	-6	14	-20	15.3	18.2	-2.85	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Eddie Johnson	46	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	12	-16	17.7	14.1	3.66	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Matt Bullard	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	16.5	15.8	0.71	20.2	13.9	6.32
Rodrick Rhodes	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	18	-28	20.2	15.2	4.98	11.3	15.0	-3.66
Brent Price	23	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.30	-14	22	-36	17.0	15.5	1.51	14.4	14.5	-0.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-17	26	13.6	15.1	-1.47	16.7	15.2	1.46
Shawn Bradley	59	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-17	26	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.3	16.8	-1.42
Khalid Reeves	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-14	20	15.0	13.9	1.15	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Martin Muursepp	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-10	12	13.5	15.1	-1.62	16.6	15.3	1.25
Bubba Wells	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	13.2	15.5	-2.38	16.1	15.6	0.48
Hubert Davis	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	5	-18	14.1	14.9	-0.75	16.0	15.6	0.40
Chris Anstey	44	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	14	-36	16.8	12.5	4.34	14.8	16.7	-1.98
Michael Finley	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	3	-14	14.6	13.5	1.05	16.2	12.9	3.27
A.C. Green	62	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.11	-21	13	-34	15.0	13.4	1.64	16.0	15.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 121, SEA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 97, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 111, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%