NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	7.2 [359]		MVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): +48.9%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	177.6 [5]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -23.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.49	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.49	0.00	0.48	-0.01	10	56%	0.52	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Bobby Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	-0.00	0.14	-0.00	6	42%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	11	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.07	-0.01	9	36%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	7	64%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	16	44%	-0.14	3	-0.09	13	62%	-0.08
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24	-0.24	-0.00	-0.23	0.00	15	67%	-0.08	5	-0.16	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	26.6	15.4	24.4	2.5	44.2	138.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +50.8%

WAS -0.8%

WAS -15.6%

DEN +12.8%

DEN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	WAS	NBA	DEN	WAS	NBA
this game	18.3	14.6	15.6	102.3	102.3	102.5
season	16.2	15.1		96.7	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.8	19.3	20.9	15.8	18.3
WAS	13.5	15.0	15.9	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	33	33	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.51	12	-11	23	17.0	19.1	-2.18	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Anthony Goldwire	63	62	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.65	4	-3	7	18.4	18.2	0.24	14.5	14.7	-0.22
LaPhonso Ellis	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-5	11	18.6	17.1	1.50	14.8	13.4	1.39
Johnny Newman	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	17.1	20.5	-3.38	13.8	16.0	-2.24
Danny Fortson	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	-2	5	18.3	18.5	-0.20	14.7	14.3	0.39
Joe Wolf	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	3	-5	18.2	18.3	-0.14	15.2	14.5	0.68
Bryant Stith	18	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	2	-3	18.2	18.4	-0.20	15.1	14.4	0.63
Dean Garrett	55	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	12	-23	19.0	17.2	1.79	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Tony Battie	12	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	4	-7	19.3	18.2	1.16	15.9	14.3	1.57
Cory Alexander	58	55	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.14	-6	7	-13	19.2	16.7	2.47	15.1	13.6	1.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ledell Eackles	23	24	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-8	15	15.0	14.4	0.53	16.7	18.9	-2.23
Harvey Grant	18	17	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-4	7	14.9	14.5	0.48	16.7	18.7	-2.01
Chris Whitney	14	15	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	16.0	14.3	1.71	22.5	17.5	4.99
Ben Wallace	40	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-10	19	13.3	15.6	-2.25	17.2	19.2	-2.07
Terry Davis	32	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	2	-5	15.2	14.2	0.94	20.5	16.9	3.67
Tracy Murray	29	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-1	1	14.5	14.6	-0.07	19.3	17.8	1.53
Rod Strickland	82	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.4	17.6	-3.22	18.2	21.0	-2.80
Chris Webber	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.40	18.5	17.3	1.15
Juwan Howard	59	59	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	6	-13	15.0	13.6	1.46	17.7	19.6	-1.93
Calbert Cheaney	61	60	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	11	-23	14.5	14.8	-0.29	17.9	19.1	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	91.0%
POR 108, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.85,0.97,0.85,0	90.8%
SAS 91, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.84,0	90.3%