NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	77		Excitement	3.0 [1135]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.2 [1094]		LVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): -10.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dontae' Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	19	40%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	-0.00	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	0.02	17	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	75%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	14	49%	0.02	5	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.5	27.4	16.5	26.4	2.4	26.5	124.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +26.6%

ATL +8.4%

ATL +7.3%

ATL +6.6%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	16.6	15.6	82.8	97.9	102.5
season	15.1	16.1		100.2	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.1		101.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.4	14.4	14.7	13.4	14.0
ATL	19.3	15.6	16.0	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dontae' Jones	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-21	26	9.3	14.7	-5.32	12.5	17.2	-4.74
Travis Knight	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-15	14	13.7	14.0	-0.28	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Bruce Bowen	21	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-8	0	16.5	13.2	3.30	19.4	16.0	3.41
Zan Tabak	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	15.9	13.6	2.34	13.7	17.2	-3.53
Greg Minor	50	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-12	8	14.5	13.4	1.06	17.7	15.4	2.34
Tyus Edney	47	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-18	20	11.8	16.2	-4.45	17.0	16.2	0.73
Andrew DeClercq	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-11	6	13.6	15.2	-1.57	17.3	14.5	2.85
Dana Barros	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	2	-20	16.2	11.8	4.45	16.2	17.0	-0.73
Ron Mercer	69	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-11	6	13.3	16.0	-2.74	16.3	17.8	-1.53
Walter McCarty	34	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	4	-24	14.7	13.5	1.21	15.7	17.2	-1.57
Antoine Walker	78	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	7	-30	14.0	14.0	-0.04	16.8	15.7	1.09

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	69	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.27	28	-12	40	17.4	14.6	2.79	15.0	11.0	4.00
Alan Henderson	74	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	3	10	16.6	16.7	-0.09	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Tyrone Corbin	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	3	10	16.8	16.1	0.69	14.2	13.3	0.86
Christian Laettner	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	8	0	16.0	17.2	-1.23	13.5	14.4	-0.88
Steven Smith	67	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	13	-10	17.3	15.1	2.18	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	69	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	5	6	17.1	15.5	1.63	14.6	12.3	2.30
Chucky Brown	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	10	-4	15.6	17.3	-1.68	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Eldridge Recasner	43	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	18	-20	15.0	18.0	-3.00	12.3	15.2	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 68, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
POR 103, NJN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%