NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	2.5 [1185]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +12.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.0 [1183]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -9.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.05	9	100%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.06	11	85%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	20	71%	0.14	5	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03
Mario Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shea Seals	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	6	7%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	67%	0.02	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	9	30%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	26%	-0.07	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	16	42%	-0.06	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	-0.14	22	26%	-0.08	2	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	23.0	15.7	27.5	2.4	28.3	122.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.8%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +10.7%

LAC -10.8%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.6	111.3	85.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.5		110.0	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.3	15.7	14.3	11.2	14.3
LAC	14.2	17.7	15.7	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	80	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-6	35	15.1	10.8	4.24	15.6	12.1	3.50
Derek Fisher	78	81	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	-8	39	15.4	9.7	5.70	15.6	12.8	2.72
Robert Horry	50	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.47	31	-8	39	14.3	14.4	-0.08	16.7	13.2	3.48
Shaquille O'Neal	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.30	24	-1	25	15.5	12.3	3.23	16.3	12.9	3.41
Eddie Jones	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	7	9	15.0	12.2	2.80	16.2	11.7	4.52
Kobe Bryant	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	25	-27	14.1	14.4	-0.32	13.0	15.8	-2.79
Corie Blount	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	19	-15	12.0	15.0	-3.06	11.1	16.2	-5.05
Elden Campbell	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	31	-39	16.4	13.0	3.45	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Mario Bennett	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	30	-37	9.3	15.5	-6.19	13.4	15.4	-2.06
Jon Barry	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	10.0	15.1	-5.11	12.5	15.5	-2.98
Shea Seals	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	8.2	15.2	-6.93	10.7	15.6	-4.88
Sean Rooks	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	9.5	15.1	-5.52	11.7	15.6	-3.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	11.0	15.5	-4.47	8.2	14.9	-6.72
Charles Smith	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.15	-6	-17	11	13.2	15.8	-2.57	11.2	15.7	-4.52
Keith Closs	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-21	19	14.4	15.3	-0.90	14.5	14.2	0.28
Pooh Richardson	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-18	13	14.8	15.2	-0.34	11.6	15.3	-3.69
James Robinson	34	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.25	-17	-6	-11	17.2	14.0	3.22	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Eric Piatkowski	52	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-14	5	14.5	15.7	-1.14	16.4	12.3	4.07
Maurice Taylor	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.33	-21	-2	-19	15.6	14.7	0.93	13.8	14.7	-0.86
Darrick Martin	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-14	5	15.3	14.7	0.64	16.2	12.0	4.25
Lamond Murray	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-9	-5	15.0	15.2	-0.13	15.3	11.4	3.93
Rodney Rogers	77	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-8	-7	15.2	14.6	0.60	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Ike Austin	69	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	-1	-21	15.4	14.3	1.14	14.5	13.9	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
BOS 110, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIA 128, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%