NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	2.3 [1236]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +10.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	1.1 [538]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -12.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.01	-0.10	18	69%	0.15	7	-0.04	15	87%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	80%	0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	79%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	6	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	20	47%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	58%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.23	0.00	-0.11	20	33%	-0.07	5	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.0	15.8	34.3	1.7	28.0	135.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.1%

BOS +4.7%

PHI -1.7%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	14.5	15.7	105.8	77.7	100.5
season	14.4	16.2		99.5	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		99.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.0	13.5	12.5	16.6	13.3
PHI	15.3	14.7	15.2	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	95	95	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	4	22	12.8	18.3	-5.49	14.6	13.0	1.64
Paul Pierce	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	7	16	12.5	16.8	-4.37	15.0	12.5	2.50
Jiri Welsch	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.44	28	2	26	12.8	14.0	-1.28	15.0	13.9	1.07
Mark Blount	77	76	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	15	0	12.7	15.1	-2.42	15.1	12.8	2.30
Mike James	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.19	16	14	2	12.6	14.2	-1.61	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Marcus Banks	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	14	2	14.5	12.4	2.10	14.0	14.9	-0.82
Chris Mihm	20	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	21	-12	13.0	13.4	-0.33	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Ricky Davis	58	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	28	-26	14.0	12.4	1.62	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Kendrick Perkins	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	19.5	12.8	6.70	11.3	14.7	-3.46
Brandon Hunter	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	19.5	12.8	6.70	11.3	14.7	-3.46
Jumaine Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	19.5	12.8	6.70	11.3	14.7	-3.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-29	28	12.4	15.1	-2.68	16.9	12.2	4.68
Kyle Korver	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-28	26	13.1	15.2	-2.04	15.6	12.1	3.55
Willie Green	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.21	-8	-22	14	13.6	15.1	-1.49	15.1	12.1	2.98
Zendon Hamilton	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	-25	20	13.4	14.7	-1.24	17.2	12.8	4.45
Greg Buckner	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-27	24	12.6	16.1	-3.50	12.8	13.8	-1.02
Samuel Dalembert	59	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-20	10	14.3	14.9	-0.61	12.1	14.8	-2.72
Aaron McKie	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-23	16	13.5	14.8	-1.26	13.3	13.3	-0.04
Amal McCaskill	28	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-13	-4	14.6	14.5	0.13	14.7	12.8	1.90
Glenn Robinson	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-10	-10	14.8	14.0	0.84	12.2	15.0	-2.74
Eric Snow	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.35	-27	-3	-24	16.0	12.0	4.01	12.5	14.6	-2.17
Allen Iverson	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	-3	-24	15.1	12.8	2.28	12.0	16.8	-4.75
Kenny Thomas	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	-7	-16	16.7	12.6	4.07	13.0	13.6	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIA 128, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHX 108, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%