NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	6.1 [545]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +19.9%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	2.0 [634]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -15.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	33	56%	0.21	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.02	19	62%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	1	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.08	-0.03	7	93%	0.20	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Brooks Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	20	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	10	43%	0.06	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.2	28.8	19.5	29.2	2.8	33.3	139.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +13.4%

CHI +4.7%

CHI +26.1%

CHI +5.0%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.6	114.6	101.1	102.5
season	16.2	15.7		105.8	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.8		98.6	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	16.1	17.1	17.8	16.5
NYK	16.9	16.6	15.6	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-5	23	15.2	19.5	-4.28	16.6	14.6	1.99
Scottie Pippen	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	1	11	15.9	20.6	-4.69	16.0	16.0	0.01
Toni Kukoc	54	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	2	9	17.2	15.5	1.67	16.9	14.7	2.18
Dennis Rodman	83	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	5	3	16.9	11.3	5.57	16.0	15.4	0.65
Steve Kerr	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	17.2	15.7	1.55	15.0	17.3	-2.37
Michael Jordan	80	78	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	17.2	10.9	6.27	15.8	17.3	-1.45
Bill Wennington	12	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	9	-5	15.2	16.7	-1.57	17.6	15.7	1.88
Scott Burrell	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	13	-13	17.2	16.4	0.87	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Dickey Simpkins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	14.0	16.6	-2.59	13.0	16.1	-3.08
Jud Buechler	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	15.2	16.7	-1.45	15.0	16.1	-1.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brooks Thompson	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-16	19	16.7	15.9	0.78	20.7	15.9	4.79
Ben Davis	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	16.1	-3.08	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Larry Johnson	68	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-12	11	16.5	14.5	1.96	16.8	15.5	1.26
Terry Cummings	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	16.9	15.8	1.10	18.8	15.9	2.88
Charles Oakley	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.63	16.0	18.3	-2.36
John Starks	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	15.0	17.3	-2.37	17.2	15.6	1.62
Chris Mills	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	0	-13	16.5	13.8	2.71	16.2	17.9	-1.74
Charlie Ward	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	3	-19	15.9	16.7	-0.78	15.9	20.7	-4.79
Allan Houston	76	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	3	-19	15.8	17.3	-1.53	16.2	19.2	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, PHX 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.28,0.44,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.7%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.6%
CHI 99, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%