NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	122		Excitement	5.9 [590]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +12.9%
New Jersey Nets	115		Comeback	2.7 [519]		LVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): -13.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	85%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	12	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Karl Malone	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	23	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	11	73%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	22	59%	0.16	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	16	64%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.01	0.08	14	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Don MacLean	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	23.5	15.4	30.4	1.8	36.4	132.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +19.4%

UTA +14.3%

UTA +5.6%

NJN -2.4%

UTA +13.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.6	137.1	127.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		108.1	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	15.9	13.1	19.6	16.2
NJN	15.3	16.1	17.4	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	74	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-8	23	15.6	19.5	-3.87	16.2	14.8	1.36
Jeff Hornacek	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	15.1	18.8	-3.70	15.1	17.7	-2.64
John Stockton	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	4	-1	16.1	16.5	-0.39	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Bryon Russell	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	6	-5	17.2	15.0	2.22	14.7	17.5	-2.74
Adam Keefe	61	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	2	3	15.8	17.2	-1.36	17.0	13.4	3.61
Greg Foster	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	5	-3	15.2	17.2	-2.00	16.3	15.6	0.70
Antoine Carr	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	8	-9	18.7	14.7	3.93	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Howard Eisley	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	4	-1	16.1	16.3	-0.18	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Shandon Anderson	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	9	-11	18.8	15.1	3.70	17.7	15.1	2.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-8	9	14.8	16.3	-1.49	15.3	16.6	-1.21
Don MacLean	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-8	9	19.3	15.7	3.64	26.1	15.4	10.74
Brian Evans	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-5	3	15.6	16.1	-0.48	16.3	16.2	0.12
Chris Gatling	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.5	17.1	-2.60	17.4	15.4	2.09
Sherman Douglas	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.38	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Kendall Gill	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	15.9	15.9	0.03	16.4	15.8	0.57
Keith Van Horn	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-13	19	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.9	17.5	-1.56
Sam Cassell	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-5	3	16.2	15.3	0.87	17.1	14.4	2.77
Michael Cage	60	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	10	-27	17.4	13.1	4.30	14.9	18.8	-3.93
Kerry Kittles	66	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	16.1	15.5	0.53	16.1	16.7	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
LAC 102, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NOP 130, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%