NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	5.5 [691]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +23.8%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	2.8 [896]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -19.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.07	-0.06	8	95%	0.28	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.00	16	72%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	4	86%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
William Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.02	0.02	20	46%	-0.07	5	-0.12	12	83%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	65%	0.16	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	17	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	17	49%	0.03	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	11	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	25.5	15.6	27.0	2.4	33.6	129.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.2%

UTA +8.9%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	113.7	95.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.5		108.1	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.9		108.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	15.9	13.6	14.2	14.9
TOR	15.8	14.8	16.4	13.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-9	33	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Bryon Russell	59	59	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-1	17	14.8	15.1	-0.36	14.7	15.7	-0.95
John Stockton	62	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Chris Morris	28	29	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	5	5	14.1	15.3	-1.20	15.2	15.0	0.23
Antoine Carr	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	2	11	15.1	14.8	0.27	16.2	14.5	1.74
Karl Malone	75	76	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	10	-5	15.2	14.0	1.16	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Adam Keefe	50	51	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.14	0	15	-15	15.1	14.7	0.35	16.2	13.8	2.35
Howard Eisley	31	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	11	-7	14.4	15.2	-0.74	17.1	14.1	2.96
Jeff Hornacek	44	47	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	17	-19	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.2	15.9	-1.69
William Cunningham	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	22.0	14.8	7.16	0.0	15.1	-15.08
Jacque Vaughn	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	14.0	14.9	-0.94	12.0	15.1	-3.15
Greg Foster	26	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	21	-27	15.0	14.9	0.12	14.9	15.2	-0.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	23	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-13	11	15.7	14.9	0.80	15.1	14.9	0.23
John Wallace	71	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-15	15	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Oliver Miller	51	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-16	17	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.7	14.0	1.69
Gary Trent	50	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-11	7	16.5	13.6	2.93	15.0	14.8	0.25
Dee Brown	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-3	-9	14.7	15.6	-0.91	15.1	14.6	0.50
Tracy McGrady	23	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-1	-13	14.3	15.3	-1.02	15.3	14.8	0.46
Doug Christie	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-5	-5	15.0	15.4	-0.38	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Chauncey Billups	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	0	-15	14.6	16.8	-2.20	15.1	14.4	0.63
Marcus Camby	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.12	-19	4	-23	15.1	15.1	0.05	14.5	15.6	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 85, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.9%
MIA 99, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%