inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement4.4 [948] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +8.0%
Washington Wizards 86 Comeback2.7 [222] LVPAntawn Jamison (WAS): -16.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.13-0.010.031675%0.204-0.12425%-0.05
Derek Anderson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.05-0.01-0.031753%0.081-0.00475%-0.01
Gary Payton0.060,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.02-0.051446%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.03-0.05758%0.104-0.065100%0.01
Michael Doleac0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.01475%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001054%0.041-0.02475%-0.01
Wayne Simien0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Dorell Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02233%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00831%-0.063-0.0600%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.030.001770%0.186-0.14978%0.02
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.020.031266%0.123-0.091486%0.03
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02075%0.0000.00475%0.00
Billy Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06314%-0.0010.001100%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.000.05750%-0.0400.002100%-0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00250%-0.002-0.07250%-0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00533%-0.032-0.0620%-0.03
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.031822%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.330.615.725.51.832.4135.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.3%
WAS -4.3%
MIA +6.4%
MIA +10.2%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.914.415.6104.290.5104.4
season15.515.1106.1107.4
opponent15.615.5105.5102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.413.115.319.015.9
WAS14.915.714.712.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson73720.480.020.470.0415-21716.314.61.6714.813.21.62
Shandon Anderson51520.480.020.46-0.1622-93116.215.50.6114.414.5-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal65640.350.150.20-0.001211115.816.1-0.3314.813.71.04
Udonis Haslem65640.310.190.130.1467-115.416.8-1.4015.212.82.48
Dwyane Wade41450.250.25-0.01-0.0294515.915.9-0.0414.914.10.81
Antoine Walker57550.240.26-0.030.0667-116.315.21.0614.614.30.29
Gary Payton68660.230.27-0.030.18211-915.915.80.1314.215.0-0.80
Michael Doleac30310.150.35-0.200.12112-1116.115.80.3313.714.8-1.04
Jason Kapono15150.000.50-0.490.06-215-1713.416.3-2.9413.014.7-1.71
Wayne Simien670.000.50-0.500.06-215-1716.815.81.027.615.0-7.42
Dorell Wright440.000.50-0.500.12-417-2113.716.0-2.229.714.6-4.90

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Awvee Storey76-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-15177.615.0-7.4216.815.81.02
Billy Thomas99-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-13137.815.1-7.3614.916.0-1.09
Brendan Haywood4343-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-151714.314.6-0.3016.315.50.74
Andray Blatche3233-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-121113.115.1-2.0318.514.54.00
Calvin Booth1313-0.22-0.280.050.16-130-1320.213.56.7118.015.52.46
Donell Taylor2927-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-4-514.114.6-0.4918.015.02.92
Jared Jeffries6768-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-9514.414.6-0.2315.018.0-2.92
Michael Ruffin3433-0.28-0.22-0.070.07-12-1-1114.314.5-0.2813.617.1-3.47
Antawn Jamison7172-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-6-115.411.53.9415.417.2-1.77
Gilbert Arenas8182-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.11-10-3-714.414.5-0.0715.717.2-1.48
Antonio Daniels8989-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-130-1314.88.85.9915.816.8-1.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 94, VAN 750.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
SAS 95, WAS 710.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
LAL 109, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%