inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 94 Excitement4.7 [852] MVPDan Majerle (MIA): +12.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies 75 Comeback2.2 [309] LVPLawrence Moten (VAN): -18.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.04-0.061457%0.142-0.0200%0.00
Tim Hardaway0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.011179%0.224-0.1220%-0.02
Mark Strickland0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.01-0.03333%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ed Pinckney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
James Scott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gary Grant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00450%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Keith Askins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03756%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.061154%0.065-0.08450%-0.00
Sasha Danilovic-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01530%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ike Austin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.030.021253%-0.022-0.07862%-0.02
P.J. Brown-0.150,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.04-0.01822%-0.092-0.062100%0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Reeves0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00-0.031452%0.0410.00367%-0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.00658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Eric Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.01167%0.022-0.04450%-0.01
Blue Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00869%0.064-0.0900%0.00
Lee Mayberry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01150%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04517%-0.041-0.012100%0.00
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.030.04867%0.022-0.075100%0.03
Roy Rogers0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01950%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Lawrence Moten0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.24-0.05-0.11929%-0.057-0.13683%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.628.114.727.22.525.6125.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.6%
VAN -15.6%
MIA +25.7%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAVANNBAMIAVANNBA
this game15.816.915.6106.885.2104.4
season15.816.3103.197.9
opponent15.516.3109.298.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.214.813.418.115.8
VAN16.215.817.218.816.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Austin55550.60-0.110.71-0.0422-32515.216.7-1.4918.115.03.14
Keith Askins39390.51-0.010.52-0.2927-83516.415.31.0617.816.21.64
Gary Grant25250.50-0.010.51-0.1121-22318.814.64.2517.916.51.38
Dan Majerle84840.490.000.49-0.1522-32515.620.5-4.9317.113.73.33
P.J. Brown68670.380.120.260.03127515.716.0-0.3316.518.4-1.97
Alonzo Mourning35360.050.45-0.40-0.07415-1117.814.53.3317.616.51.15
James Scott440.000.49-0.490.09-322-2520.515.64.9313.717.1-3.33
Voshon Lenard440.000.49-0.490.09-322-2520.515.64.9313.717.1-3.33
Mark Strickland88-0.000.50-0.50-0.00019-1915.515.8-0.3313.417.3-3.91
Tim Hardaway6363-0.010.50-0.510.05-221-2314.618.8-4.2516.517.9-1.38
Sasha Danilovic4545-0.010.51-0.520.14-524-2914.916.8-1.9016.417.5-1.04
Ed Pinckney1010-0.030.53-0.56-0.03019-1912.616.2-3.6114.017.3-3.31

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lawrence Moten6466-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-14916.218.8-2.5615.516.6-1.12
Greg Anthony5960-0.16-0.330.18-0.10-2-171516.318.3-2.0615.715.9-0.20
Blue Edwards6566-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-181717.316.01.2615.317.3-1.97
George Lynch1817-0.18-0.310.130.14-11-8-316.617.0-0.4717.915.32.66
Eric Mobley2121-0.19-0.300.11-0.01-6-13718.216.51.7216.815.51.27
Bryant Reeves7273-0.26-0.23-0.030.06-11-8-316.718.2-1.5315.517.3-1.85
Roy Rogers5857-0.28-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-11315.918.8-2.8914.817.5-2.71
Lee Mayberry2928-0.33-0.16-0.180.16-17-2-1518.316.32.0615.915.70.20
Anthony Peeler2422-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-5-918.816.22.5616.615.51.12
Shareef Abdur-Rahim3030-0.39-0.10-0.290.19-201-2118.116.31.7717.614.92.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 99, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
PHI 107, MIN 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
NYK 94, MIA 670.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%