NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	4.6 [856]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +10.1%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.0 [783]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (CLE): -9.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.04	21	51%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Scott Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Shawnelle Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	52%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	22	56%	-0.03	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.02	18	74%	0.21	6	-0.10	10	80%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	18	51%	0.05	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	14	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.4	15.4	27.5	2.4	33.2	131.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.0%

NYK +6.0%

NYK +6.1%

NYK +1.5%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.6	97.8	110.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.7		99.4	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.0		98.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	15.2	15.8	14.3	15.0
NYK	16.0	14.8	16.9	17.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	6	7	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-16	21	13.3	15.1	-1.76	22.9	15.6	7.25
Carl Thomas	54	55	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.37	14	-25	39	15.1	14.8	0.23	16.5	15.6	0.86
Shawnelle Scott	29	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-21	31	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.4	16.1	0.33
Scott Brooks	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-13	15	15.2	14.9	0.30	16.6	16.1	0.52
Vitaly Potapenko	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-3	-5	16.7	14.7	2.01	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Bob Sura	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-8	5	14.8	15.5	-0.69	15.8	17.2	-1.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	0	-11	14.7	15.3	-0.56	16.2	16.1	0.09
Wesley Person	31	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	5	-21	14.6	15.1	-0.50	16.9	15.8	1.12
Cedric Henderson	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	14.7	15.9	-1.20	15.8	17.3	-1.45
Brevin Knight	36	35	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.18	-24	13	-37	15.9	14.4	1.49	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Shawn Kemp	87	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	5	-21	15.1	13.3	1.76	15.6	22.9	-7.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	74	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-4	19	15.7	18.2	-2.49	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Charlie Ward	54	54	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-7	25	15.7	16.8	-1.11	15.4	14.5	0.89
Chris Dudley	41	43	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-8	27	15.5	16.7	-1.17	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Larry Johnson	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	16.8	12.2	4.58	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Chris Mills	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	16.5	15.5	0.93	15.4	14.2	1.18
John Starks	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	10	-9	16.5	15.8	0.74	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Buck Williams	39	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	10	-9	15.2	16.9	-1.66	15.4	14.7	0.66
Chris Childs	38	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	18	-25	16.8	15.7	1.11	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Herb Williams	25	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	19	-27	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.8	15.0	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHA 78, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 74, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%