NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	74		Excitement	4.0 [1043]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +15.1%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.0 [1304]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -18.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	81%	0.08	1	-0.00	12	83%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	15	31%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.22	-0.02	-0.05	19	29%	-0.10	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	36%	-0.07	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.06
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	28.0	15.8	27.2	2.4	29.0	130.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +52.8%

ATL -1.9%

UTA +1.1%

ATL -2.5%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.5	82.2	107.9	104.0
season	15.6	16.7		98.1	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	13.6	14.8	18.0	15.8
UTA	15.6	17.1	15.8	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-19	16	15.7	15.8	-0.06	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Michael Stewart	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-17	12	13.6	16.1	-2.51	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Boris Diaw	55	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-16	10	16.3	14.9	1.44	17.4	14.7	2.65
Jason Collier	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-14	6	14.3	16.1	-1.86	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Predrag Drobnjak	48	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-18	14	16.5	14.9	1.57	17.6	15.1	2.51
Josh Smith	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	-1	-20	15.8	15.5	0.34	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Josh Childress	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	2	-26	15.3	18.7	-3.35	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Tom Gugliotta	62	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	-3	-16	15.9	15.5	0.44	16.2	16.9	-0.64
Al Harrington	77	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	-2	-18	15.9	14.9	0.99	16.1	18.3	-2.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	2	18	16.2	17.4	-1.29	15.6	16.6	-1.06
Mehmet Okur	61	63	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	4	14	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.2	17.1	-1.92
Raja Bell	47	47	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	2	18	15.1	17.9	-2.73	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Keith McLeod	52	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.23	22	0	22	15.5	17.7	-2.16	14.6	17.5	-2.84
Jarron Collins	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	13	-4	16.2	16.5	-0.34	17.0	15.0	1.93
Kris Humphries	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	13	-4	16.6	16.3	0.28	16.1	15.5	0.59
Howard Eisley	37	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	22	-22	17.7	15.5	2.16	17.5	14.6	2.84
Kirk Snyder	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	14	-6	17.5	16.1	1.38	15.0	16.0	-1.09
Curtis Borchardt	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	18	-14	16.9	16.3	0.65	11.9	16.6	-4.66
Matt Harpring	42	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	20	-18	17.3	15.6	1.74	17.5	14.1	3.35
Gordan Giricek	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	24	-26	18.1	15.8	2.28	16.7	15.5	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, UTA 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAC 98, POR 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%