NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	81		Excitement	5.5 [684]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +21.8%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	2.2 [946]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -22.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	21	62%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	47%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	18	68%	0.25	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	10	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	14	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.06	0.00	13	32%	-0.10	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.3	23.7	15.6	21.2	2.5	23.4	108.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +9.9%

NJN +4.3%

NJN +29.7%

NJN +7.6%

DAL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	19.8	17.0	15.6	102.5	116.9	102.5
season	15.8	15.6		98.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	21.3	18.0	21.3	19.2	19.8
NJN	18.5	14.8	17.7	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	56	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-13	17	19.4	21.0	-1.69	18.4	14.0	4.42
Khalid Reeves	72	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-12	15	19.1	27.1	-8.00	17.2	15.4	1.77
Chris Anstey	11	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	3	-15	20.7	19.7	1.02	14.4	17.5	-3.11
Michael Finley	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	20.2	12.5	7.74	17.3	10.7	6.63
Dennis Scott	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	19.8	20.0	-0.17	16.9	18.0	-1.09
Erick Strickland	75	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	19.7	23.2	-3.58	17.0	17.0	0.04
A.C. Green	37	37	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	9	-27	21.3	18.5	2.78	15.3	18.6	-3.30

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	47	47	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.19	17	-8	25	15.9	18.8	-2.94	19.3	20.6	-1.25
Keith Van Horn	60	63	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-2	13	16.6	18.6	-2.06	19.6	20.7	-1.13
Sam Cassell	67	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	17.4	14.6	2.80	20.5	14.8	5.72
Jayson Williams	57	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	7	-5	18.3	13.5	4.78	19.6	20.7	-1.17
Kendall Gill	55	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	4	1	17.8	15.2	2.54	18.7	22.8	-4.05
Kerry Kittles	33	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	11	-13	16.6	17.4	-0.81	21.0	18.9	2.07
Michael Cage	12	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	14.0	17.6	-3.60	21.0	19.7	1.34
Chris Gatling	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	5	-1	13.7	17.7	-4.03	19.8	19.9	-0.02
David Benoit	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	8	-7	20.1	16.5	3.61	21.4	19.6	1.85
Lucious Harris	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	15	-21	17.2	16.9	0.27	19.9	19.8	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
NJN 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.96,1	93.1%
UTA 92, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.0%