NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Excitement	4.4 [903]		MVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): +9.9%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.6 [1125]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -15.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Blue Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	18	64%	0.01	2	-0.03	11	82%	-0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	17	28%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	74%	0.17	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	13	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Charles Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	26.2	16.6	29.3	1.6	26.2	129.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.3%

VAN -4.0%

HOU +5.7%

VAN -5.7%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	104.3	117.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		101.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.6	14.9	14.2	15.1	15.2
HOU	14.7	13.4	16.5	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blue Edwards	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-14	15	15.4	15.0	0.41	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Lee Mayberry	36	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-14	15	13.9	16.0	-2.07	16.7	14.8	1.88
Pete Chilcutt	39	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	14.1	15.9	-1.82	15.2	15.9	-0.66
George Lynch	32	32	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-9	5	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.9	15.5	0.39
Tony Massenburg	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	14.4	15.4	-0.97	17.0	15.2	1.86
Otis Thorpe	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.5	14.3	1.11	15.0	17.4	-2.48
Bryant Reeves	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.8	15.3	0.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-2	-9	15.0	15.7	-0.79	15.8	15.3	0.47
Antonio Daniels	57	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	1	-15	16.0	13.9	2.07	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Sam Mack	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	1	-15	15.0	15.4	-0.41	15.7	15.5	0.21

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-4	21	15.8	14.6	1.27	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Charles Barkley	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-1	15	15.7	15.3	0.39	15.2	15.3	-0.15
Mario Elie	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-1	15	15.1	16.0	-0.86	16.1	14.4	1.74
Matt Maloney	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	15.9	14.9	0.96	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Kevin Willis	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	3	7	15.7	15.5	0.14	15.7	14.2	1.60
Rodrick Rhodes	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	13	-13	16.4	15.1	1.35	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Brent Price	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	9	-5	12.2	16.1	-3.96	15.8	15.1	0.68
Eddie Johnson	44	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	17	-21	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Othella Harrington	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	15	-17	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.8	15.1	0.74
Charles Jones	2	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	15	-17	14.0	15.7	-1.65	15.0	15.2	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 87, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 95, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%