NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	8.7 [137]		MVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): +90.2%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	7.5 [118]		LVP	Horace Grant (ORL): -28.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.32	0.07	0.26	0.01	11	64%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.08
Greg Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	11	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Mookie Blaylock	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	14	54%	-0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.9	0.90	0.08	0.82	-0.00	15	68%	0.96	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.11	3	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.13	-0.05	13	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	-0.00	14	37%	-0.06	2	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	26.2	16.7	20.4	2.3	40.4	132.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +72.1%

ATL -14.1%

ORL +19.0%

ATL -31.7%

ORL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.9	15.6	105.9	105.8	102.5
season	16.1	16.7		105.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	13.4	17.3	17.4	15.8
ORL	17.5	18.5	21.5	14.5	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.32	10	-11	21	14.0	16.6	-2.62	16.4	18.6	-2.22
Mookie Blaylock	74	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-14	27	15.0	21.2	-6.20	18.6	12.1	6.54
Greg Anderson	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	4	-9	14.4	15.9	-1.56	16.9	18.0	-1.11
Alan Henderson	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-7	13	16.2	15.4	0.87	16.7	18.9	-2.26
Eldridge Recasner	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	3	-7	17.5	14.6	2.93	15.9	19.2	-3.21
Christian Laettner	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-1	1	15.7	16.2	-0.54	17.9	17.7	0.19
Dikembe Mutombo	56	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	2	-5	15.8	15.8	0.04	18.9	16.1	2.79
Tyrone Corbin	56	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	10	-21	16.3	14.8	1.46	18.6	16.6	1.92
Steven Smith	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	10	-21	16.1	14.9	1.19	18.1	17.3	0.79

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	74	74	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.76	11	-10	21	18.2	16.2	2.00	16.1	13.5	2.68
Anfernee Hardaway	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.52	-3	4	-7	16.7	19.6	-2.89	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Rony Seikaly	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-8	17	18.8	16.1	2.69	15.9	15.6	0.34
Mark Price	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	5	-9	16.2	20.3	-4.10	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Horace Grant	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.51	-8	9	-17	19.2	12.7	6.53	14.7	19.7	-5.02
Darrell Armstrong	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-3	7	20.3	16.2	4.12	16.1	15.6	0.51
Dan Schayes	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	-1	3	12.1	18.7	-6.64	19.7	15.1	4.61
Nick Anderson	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	19.8	16.3	3.59	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Gerald Wilkins	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	6	-11	16.2	18.0	-1.79	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Derek Strong	38	38	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	4	-7	15.0	20.2	-5.21	16.4	15.3	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.1%
CHH 91, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.6%
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.2%